An open-source framework for analyzing NBA player projection accuracy

Bricks applies the Whiffs evaluation framework to basketball: separating playing time from rates, adjusting for league average, and weighting errors by minutes. (See the methodology.)

Projection systems are compared to SPS — Basketball-Reference's Simple Projection System, a Marcel-like projection that represents the rudimentary baseline.

Projection Accuracy Overview

Minutes

PTS/MIN

FG%