2024-25 Fantasy Projection Accuracy
Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2024-25, excluding players with fewer than 1,500 minutes. Limited to minutes, games, minutes per game, and 9-cat rates.
Playing Time
Minutes
Everybody Missed for Minutes
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Johnson | 1925 |
692
(1232.7)
|
500
(1425.2)
|
| Tristan da Silva | 1629 |
500
(1128.6)
|
500
(1128.6)
|
| Bub Carrington | 2458 |
500
(1957.8)
|
1519
(938.8)
|
| Toumani Camara | 2548 |
1496
(1052.2)
|
1631
(917.3)
|
| Jaylen Wells | 2043 |
500
(1543.5)
|
500
(1543.5)
|
| Jalen Wilson | 2031 |
949
(1082.4)
|
1054
(977.4)
|
| Kyshawn George | 1802 |
500
(1302.2)
|
500
(1302.2)
|
| Dyson Daniels | 2571 |
1433
(1137.9)
|
1534
(1037.6)
|
| Christian Braun | 2676 |
1583
(1092.5)
|
1760
(915.5)
|
Individual Misses for Minutes
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephon Castle | 500 | 2162 | 1662.0 |
| 2 | Yves Missi | 500 | 1956 | 1456.0 |
| 3 | Guerschon Yabusele | 500 | 1895 | 1394.7 |
| 4 | Zaccharie Risacher | 500 | 1843 | 1343.5 |
| 5 | Isaiah Collier | 500 | 1839 | 1339.1 |
| 6 | Alex Sarr | 500 | 1814 | 1314.2 |
| 7 | Zach LaVine | 1305 | 2602 | 1297.7 |
| 8 | Tyler Herro | 1556 | 2725 | 1169.6 |
| 9 | Kyle Filipowski | 500 | 1522 | 1021.5 |
| 10 | OG Anunoby | 1690 | 2706 | 1016.3 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naji Marshall | 500 | 1919 | 1419.1 |
| 2 | Haywood Highsmith | 500 | 1818 | 1318.3 |
| 3 | Aaron Wiggins | 500 | 1744 | 1243.9 |
| 4 | Max Christie | 938 | 2127 | 1188.7 |
| 5 | AJ Green | 500 | 1659 | 1159.2 |
| 6 | Paolo Banchero | 2728 | 1582 | 1146.9 |
| 7 | Sam Hauser | 500 | 1541 | 1041.1 |
| 8 | Ja Morant | 2534 | 1519 | 1014.9 |
| 9 | Grayson Allen | 2523 | 1544 | 979.3 |
| 10 | Keon Ellis | 1020 | 1948 | 927.7 |
Games
Everybody Missed for Games
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Johnson | 79 |
48
(31.0)
|
0
(79.0)
|
| Chris Paul | 82 |
53
(29.0)
|
64
(18.0)
|
| Jaylen Wells | 79 |
0
(79.0)
|
0
(79.0)
|
| Kyshawn George | 68 |
0
(68.0)
|
0
(68.0)
|
| Tristan da Silva | 74 |
0
(74.0)
|
0
(74.0)
|
Individual Misses for Games
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bub Carrington | 0 | 82 | 82.0 |
| 2 | Stephon Castle | 0 | 81 | 81.0 |
| 3 | Matas Buzelis | 0 | 80 | 80.0 |
| 4 | Zaccharie Risacher | 0 | 75 | 75.0 |
| 5 | Yves Missi | 0 | 73 | 73.0 |
| 6 | Kyle Filipowski | 0 | 72 | 72.0 |
| 7 | Isaiah Collier | 0 | 71 | 71.0 |
| 8 | Guerschon Yabusele | 0 | 70 | 70.0 |
| 9 | Alex Sarr | 0 | 67 | 67.0 |
| 10 | Scotty Pippen Jr. | 39 | 79 | 40.0 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Wiggins | 0 | 76 | 76.0 |
| 2 | Haywood Highsmith | 0 | 74 | 74.0 |
| 3 | AJ Green | 0 | 73 | 73.0 |
| 4 | Sam Hauser | 0 | 71 | 71.0 |
| 5 | Naji Marshall | 0 | 69 | 69.0 |
| 6 | Paolo Banchero | 76 | 46 | 30.0 |
| 7 | Victor Wembanyama | 70 | 46 | 24.0 |
| 8 | Luka Dončić | 72 | 50 | 22.0 |
| 9 | Jerami Grant | 68 | 47 | 21.0 |
| 10 | Ja Morant | 70 | 50 | 20.0 |
Rate Stats
MIN/G
Everybody Missed for MIN/G
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Ellis | 24.3524 |
16.3162
(12766.3)
|
15.7000
(16159.8)
|
| Tristan da Silva | 22.0083 |
30.1156
(15619.5)
|
30.1156
(13786.2)
|
| AJ Green | 22.7291 |
11.7642
(15732.1)
|
30.1156
(12849.3)
|
| Payton Pritchard | 28.3859 |
19.7138
(16325.0)
|
21.6000
(14597.9)
|
| Toumani Camara | 32.6699 |
24.5262
(16972.2)
|
23.3000
(22965.5)
|
| Max Christie | 27.2710 |
14.3679
(24291.6)
|
13.8000
(27894.1)
|
| Jalen Wilson | 25.7138 |
16.3621
(15983.7)
|
15.5000
(20021.6)
|
| Matas Buzelis | 18.8918 |
30.1156
(19204.9)
|
28.3000
(14759.5)
|
| Grayson Allen | 24.1266 |
30.4701
(12085.4)
|
34.1000
(15952.1)
|
| Dyson Daniels | 33.8321 |
20.7725
(29765.3)
|
21.6000
(30532.0)
|
| Christian Braun | 33.8671 |
18.8452
(36222.3)
|
22.0000
(30793.5)
|
| Ivica Zubac | 32.8043 |
26.7844
(11905.6)
|
26.7000
(15081.2)
|
Individual Misses for MIN/G
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amen Thompson | 22.5949 | 32.2563 | 18201.7 |
| 2 | Davion Mitchell | 17.6081 | 27.3993 | 16844.6 |
| 3 | Keon Johnson | 14.4271 | 24.3696 | 16285.7 |
| 4 | Kyle Filipowski | 30.1156 | 21.1325 | 15925.1 |
| 5 | Terry Rozier | 33.1945 | 25.9097 | 14539.6 |
| 6 | Keldon Johnson | 30.2852 | 23.8701 | 14517.4 |
| 7 | Zaccharie Risacher | 30.1156 | 24.5794 | 12940.2 |
| 8 | Naji Marshall | 20.1114 | 27.8128 | 11933.0 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bub Carrington | 21.7000 | 29.9730 | 19454.4 |
| 2 | Buddy Hield | 30.1000 | 22.7194 | 14416.3 |
| 3 | Isaiah Collier | 17.9000 | 25.9029 | 14060.5 |
| 4 | Sam Hauser | 30.1156 | 21.7061 | 13511.4 |
| 5 | Guerschon Yabusele | 19.6000 | 27.0677 | 13471.6 |
| 6 | Jonas Valanciunas | 27.2000 | 18.8119 | 13326.4 |
| 7 | Anthony Black | 16.8000 | 24.1933 | 13276.8 |
| 8 | Aaron Wiggins | 30.1156 | 22.9461 | 13126.7 |
PTS/MIN
Everybody Missed for PTS/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Grimes | 0.5424 |
0.3767
(335.6)
|
0.3603
(374.4)
|
| Evan Mobley | 0.6074 |
0.4961
(243.3)
|
0.4908
(261.0)
|
| Malik Beasley | 0.5852 |
0.4224
(374.0)
|
0.4107
(407.2)
|
| James Harden | 0.6461 |
0.5082
(387.5)
|
0.5011
(415.2)
|
| Terry Rozier | 0.4095 |
0.5833
(286.6)
|
0.5895
(292.1)
|
| Kyle Kuzma | 0.4978 |
0.6340
(261.7)
|
0.6696
(325.2)
|
| Franz Wagner | 0.7162 |
0.5913
(254.6)
|
0.6000
(242.9)
|
| Shaedon Sharpe | 0.5927 |
0.4777
(261.3)
|
0.4773
(268.6)
|
| Austin Reaves | 0.5784 |
0.4765
(262.6)
|
0.4848
(248.7)
|
| Dyson Daniels | 0.4173 |
0.2742
(370.6)
|
0.2550
(427.4)
|
| Kyshawn George | 0.3274 |
0.5138
(334.1)
|
0.5138
(328.9)
|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 0.3920 |
0.5078
(246.9)
|
0.5198
(266.6)
|
| Tristan da Silva | 0.3273 |
0.5138
(302.1)
|
0.5138
(297.4)
|
| Christian Braun | 0.4552 |
0.3632
(248.9)
|
0.3494
(293.5)
|
Individual Misses for PTS/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bub Carrington | 0.5138 | 0.3283 | 453.2 |
| 2 | Yves Missi | 0.5138 | 0.3400 | 337.9 |
| 3 | Isaiah Collier | 0.5138 | 0.3344 | 328.0 |
| 4 | Coby White | 0.5028 | 0.6158 | 279.6 |
| 5 | Deni Avdija | 0.4437 | 0.5640 | 262.2 |
| 6 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 0.8603 | 0.9562 | 251.8 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haywood Highsmith | 0.5138 | 0.2629 | 449.2 |
| 2 | Anfernee Simons | 0.7327 | 0.5881 | 322.5 |
| 3 | AJ Green | 0.5138 | 0.3261 | 305.0 |
| 4 | Darius Garland | 0.5646 | 0.6711 | 253.9 |
| 5 | Devin Booker | 0.7818 | 0.6879 | 251.5 |
| 6 | Jerami Grant | 0.6076 | 0.4443 | 242.8 |
REB/MIN
Everybody Missed for REB/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges | 0.0853 |
0.1291
(132.2)
|
0.1254
(118.2)
|
| Quentin Grimes | 0.1609 |
0.1105
(102.0)
|
0.1026
(119.9)
|
| Yves Missi | 0.3078 |
0.1741
(261.8)
|
0.2417
(131.5)
|
| Bub Carrington | 0.1387 |
0.1741
(86.4)
|
0.2442
(256.4)
|
| Jalen Wilson | 0.1329 |
0.1970
(129.8)
|
0.2002
(134.3)
|
| Rudy Gobert | 0.3287 |
0.3746
(109.2)
|
0.3855
(132.9)
|
| Ivica Zubac | 0.3849 |
0.3413
(115.0)
|
0.3482
(99.4)
|
| Julius Randle | 0.2188 |
0.2653
(103.0)
|
0.2737
(119.5)
|
| Nic Claxton | 0.2737 |
0.3198
(86.3)
|
0.3268
(97.7)
|
| Walker Kessler | 0.4062 |
0.3335
(127.0)
|
0.3388
(119.5)
|
| Desmond Bane | 0.1895 |
0.1446
(99.6)
|
0.1375
(117.5)
|
| Jaden McDaniels | 0.1798 |
0.1224
(150.6)
|
0.1157
(170.5)
|
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 0.3843 |
0.3201
(102.5)
|
0.3250
(96.2)
|
| P.J. Washington | 0.2409 |
0.1760
(119.4)
|
0.1830
(108.3)
|
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 0.3660 |
0.2538
(282.8)
|
0.3066
(152.3)
|
Individual Misses for REB/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Filipowski | 0.1741 | 0.2892 | 175.4 |
| 2 | Alex Sarr | 0.1741 | 0.2398 | 119.5 |
| 3 | Jaylen Wells | 0.1741 | 0.1311 | 87.4 |
| 4 | Isaiah Collier | 0.1741 | 0.1278 | 84.8 |
| 5 | Domantas Sabonis | 0.3660 | 0.4002 | 83.6 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AJ Green | 0.1741 | 0.1049 | 113.0 |
| 2 | Keegan Murray | 0.1595 | 0.1942 | 93.8 |
| 3 | Alperen Sengun | 0.2910 | 0.3282 | 91.9 |
| 4 | Amen Thompson | 0.2954 | 0.2539 | 89.8 |
| 5 | Draymond Green | 0.2545 | 0.2087 | 88.5 |
AST/MIN
Everybody Missed for AST/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 0.2602 |
0.2114
(116.1)
|
0.2235
(88.9)
|
| Tyrese Haliburton | 0.2746 |
0.3138
(99.6)
|
0.3305
(137.9)
|
| Terry Rozier | 0.1007 |
0.1534
(89.8)
|
0.1591
(97.6)
|
| Kyle Kuzma | 0.0785 |
0.1198
(82.9)
|
0.1286
(97.9)
|
| RJ Barrett | 0.1680 |
0.0962
(131.4)
|
0.0996
(127.0)
|
| Kris Dunn | 0.1178 |
0.1969
(143.7)
|
0.2078
(161.3)
|
| Jaylen Wells | 0.0661 |
0.1199
(113.0)
|
0.1199
(110.9)
|
| Domantas Sabonis | 0.1742 |
0.2141
(100.6)
|
0.2216
(116.4)
|
| Fred VanVleet | 0.1577 |
0.2040
(100.9)
|
0.2098
(110.8)
|
| Davion Mitchell | 0.1790 |
0.1282
(100.1)
|
0.1266
(105.5)
|
| Josh Giddey | 0.2376 |
0.1955
(86.1)
|
0.1938
(91.9)
|
| Isaiah Collier | 0.2425 |
0.1199
(222.8)
|
0.1899
(95.8)
|
| Josh Hart | 0.1564 |
0.1203
(100.1)
|
0.1203
(103.1)
|
Individual Misses for AST/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yves Missi | 0.1199 | 0.0506 | 138.4 |
| 2 | Zaccharie Risacher | 0.1199 | 0.0499 | 131.7 |
| 3 | Matas Buzelis | 0.1199 | 0.0523 | 104.4 |
| 4 | Pascal Siakam | 0.1366 | 0.1032 | 88.8 |
| 5 | Jrue Holiday | 0.1713 | 0.1261 | 88.6 |
| 6 | Trae Young | 0.2887 | 0.3212 | 85.2 |
| 7 | Tristan da Silva | 0.1199 | 0.0694 | 84.7 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bub Carrington | 0.0968 | 0.1481 | 125.0 |
| 2 | Sam Hauser | 0.1199 | 0.0415 | 121.5 |
| 3 | Haywood Highsmith | 0.1199 | 0.0616 | 106.8 |
| 4 | Tyus Jones | 0.2418 | 0.1974 | 97.5 |
| 5 | Anthony Black | 0.0774 | 0.1272 | 93.1 |
| 6 | Quentin Grimes | 0.0670 | 0.1133 | 92.2 |
| 7 | AJ Green | 0.1199 | 0.0651 | 91.7 |
STL/MIN
Everybody Missed for STL/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges | 0.0247 |
0.0298
(23.1)
|
0.0313
(27.3)
|
| Cason Wallace | 0.0640 |
0.0447
(31.3)
|
0.0432
(34.3)
|
| Bub Carrington | 0.0220 |
0.0332
(33.7)
|
0.0369
(42.6)
|
| Tyrese Maxey | 0.0464 |
0.0260
(35.0)
|
0.0273
(32.7)
|
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 0.0296 |
0.0418
(23.5)
|
0.0440
(26.9)
|
| Amen Thompson | 0.0436 |
0.0548
(30.5)
|
0.0569
(35.2)
|
| Jaylen Wells | 0.0215 |
0.0332
(29.0)
|
0.0332
(28.8)
|
| Matas Buzelis | 0.0192 |
0.0332
(25.0)
|
0.0389
(33.4)
|
| Josh Giddey | 0.0397 |
0.0263
(22.9)
|
0.0245
(27.1)
|
| DeMar DeRozan | 0.0224 |
0.0295
(26.6)
|
0.0298
(27.1)
|
| Dyson Daniels | 0.0891 |
0.0558
(79.0)
|
0.0600
(68.5)
|
| Jaden McDaniels | 0.0421 |
0.0306
(23.4)
|
0.0298
(25.6)
|
| Josh Hart | 0.0411 |
0.0307
(22.9)
|
0.0293
(27.0)
|
Individual Misses for STL/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kris Dunn | 0.0504 | 0.0718 | 33.6 |
| 2 | Yves Missi | 0.0332 | 0.0189 | 32.8 |
| 3 | Anthony Edwards | 0.0400 | 0.0317 | 31.2 |
| 4 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 0.0338 | 0.0241 | 25.2 |
| 5 | Tristan da Silva | 0.0332 | 0.0203 | 25.1 |
| 6 | Draymond Green | 0.0350 | 0.0499 | 24.5 |
| 7 | James Harden | 0.0315 | 0.0423 | 23.0 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isaiah Collier | 0.0559 | 0.0359 | 41.2 |
| 2 | Stephon Castle | 0.0484 | 0.0342 | 36.0 |
| 3 | Victor Wembanyama | 0.0539 | 0.0340 | 34.0 |
| 4 | De'Aaron Fox | 0.0526 | 0.0406 | 32.3 |
| 5 | Davion Mitchell | 0.0183 | 0.0355 | 29.9 |
| 6 | Kyle Filipowski | 0.0466 | 0.0315 | 26.6 |
| 7 | Anthony Black | 0.0298 | 0.0456 | 25.2 |
BLK/MIN
Everybody Missed for BLK/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 0.0216 |
0.0134
(23.3)
|
0.0115
(30.9)
|
| Jalen Duren | 0.0438 |
0.0297
(31.2)
|
0.0294
(34.2)
|
| Yves Missi | 0.0501 |
0.0184
(64.5)
|
0.0685
(31.2)
|
| Onyeka Okongwu | 0.0329 |
0.0482
(28.9)
|
0.0466
(23.2)
|
| Brook Lopez | 0.0581 |
0.0750
(39.6)
|
0.0776
(43.4)
|
| Amen Thompson | 0.0400 |
0.0270
(31.8)
|
0.0285
(31.1)
|
| Jaylen Wells | 0.0039 |
0.0184
(27.0)
|
0.0184
(24.6)
|
| Rudy Gobert | 0.0435 |
0.0558
(26.2)
|
0.0602
(34.0)
|
| Matas Buzelis | 0.0496 |
0.0184
(49.1)
|
0.0247
(41.3)
|
| Kyshawn George | 0.0277 |
0.0184
(19.2)
|
0.0184
(21.3)
|
| Nic Claxton | 0.0531 |
0.0713
(31.7)
|
0.0679
(23.1)
|
| Walker Kessler | 0.0793 |
0.0991
(32.3)
|
0.1020
(35.3)
|
| Ivica Zubac | 0.0343 |
0.0443
(23.0)
|
0.0448
(21.2)
|
| Santi Aldama | 0.0175 |
0.0311
(20.5)
|
0.0324
(20.7)
|
| Tobias Harris | 0.0247 |
0.0180
(18.4)
|
0.0183
(20.4)
|
Individual Misses for BLK/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Sarr | 0.0184 | 0.0557 | 70.0 |
| 2 | Jaren Jackson Jr. | 0.0666 | 0.0512 | 31.1 |
| 3 | Derrick Jones Jr. | 0.0310 | 0.0176 | 22.7 |
| 4 | Bub Carrington | 0.0184 | 0.0085 | 21.0 |
| 5 | Miles Bridges | 0.0147 | 0.0222 | 17.7 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guerschon Yabusele | 0.0357 | 0.0127 | 39.0 |
| 2 | Stephon Castle | 0.0277 | 0.0102 | 32.5 |
| 3 | Bam Adebayo | 0.0342 | 0.0198 | 32.0 |
| 4 | Karl-Anthony Towns | 0.0344 | 0.0199 | 30.4 |
| 5 | Kyle Filipowski | 0.0334 | 0.0145 | 25.1 |
TOV/MIN
Everybody Missed for TOV/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 0.1260 |
0.0984
(64.6)
|
0.1032
(55.5)
|
| Quentin Grimes | 0.0700 |
0.0311
(75.7)
|
0.0315
(77.2)
|
| Tyrese Haliburton | 0.0490 |
0.0708
(56.7)
|
0.0718
(56.6)
|
| James Harden | 0.1223 |
0.0835
(104.5)
|
0.0776
(123.8)
|
| Trey Murphy III | 0.0555 |
0.0233
(57.5)
|
0.0211
(63.6)
|
| Kris Dunn | 0.0415 |
0.0630
(40.6)
|
0.0658
(43.8)
|
| RJ Barrett | 0.0888 |
0.0656
(41.0)
|
0.0674
(39.7)
|
| Jaylen Wells | 0.0338 |
0.0586
(53.4)
|
0.0586
(51.2)
|
| Anthony Black | 0.0737 |
0.0474
(47.2)
|
0.0476
(48.7)
|
| Davion Mitchell | 0.0631 |
0.0430
(38.3)
|
0.0410
(44.5)
|
| Deni Avdija | 0.0907 |
0.0641
(54.7)
|
0.0709
(42.2)
|
| DeMar DeRozan | 0.0379 |
0.0512
(40.2)
|
0.0537
(44.3)
|
| Tristan da Silva | 0.0344 |
0.0586
(41.5)
|
0.0586
(39.8)
|
| Jrue Holiday | 0.0406 |
0.0681
(54.6)
|
0.0634
(43.5)
|
Individual Misses for TOV/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isaiah Collier | 0.0586 | 0.1131 | 97.9 |
| 2 | Stephon Castle | 0.0586 | 0.0819 | 47.5 |
| 3 | Coby White | 0.0524 | 0.0722 | 45.6 |
| 4 | Pascal Siakam | 0.0579 | 0.0428 | 41.9 |
| 5 | Scottie Barnes | 0.0663 | 0.0862 | 39.8 |
| 6 | Tyrese Maxey | 0.0418 | 0.0633 | 39.5 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Hauser | 0.0586 | 0.0149 | 67.7 |
| 2 | AJ Green | 0.0586 | 0.0241 | 57.6 |
| 3 | Haywood Highsmith | 0.0586 | 0.0297 | 53.0 |
| 4 | Yves Missi | 0.0638 | 0.0419 | 43.2 |
| 5 | Bub Carrington | 0.0737 | 0.0574 | 40.8 |
| 6 | Cameron Johnson | 0.0328 | 0.0550 | 39.6 |
3PM/MIN
Everybody Missed for 3PM/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley | 0.0392 |
0.0137
(47.2)
|
0.0115
(53.5)
|
| Yves Missi | 0.0000 |
0.0619
(128.3)
|
0.0619
(126.9)
|
| Bam Adebayo | 0.0295 |
0.0058
(53.5)
|
0.0048
(58.1)
|
| Malik Beasley | 0.1397 |
0.1004
(81.2)
|
0.1004
(82.8)
|
| Michael Porter Jr. | 0.0744 |
0.0892
(48.0)
|
0.0972
(67.0)
|
| Payton Pritchard | 0.1123 |
0.0812
(62.2)
|
0.0820
(61.8)
|
| Anthony Edwards | 0.1115 |
0.0732
(99.2)
|
0.0773
(89.2)
|
| Jordan Poole | 0.1174 |
0.0822
(63.0)
|
0.0789
(71.1)
|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 0.0627 |
0.0352
(61.8)
|
0.0392
(53.2)
|
| Derrick White | 0.1030 |
0.0728
(67.9)
|
0.0754
(63.2)
|
| Nikola Jokić | 0.0537 |
0.0306
(49.6)
|
0.0296
(54.1)
|
Individual Misses for 3PM/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isaiah Collier | 0.0619 | 0.0228 | 78.6 |
| 2 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | 0.0587 | 0.0342 | 58.8 |
| 3 | Keegan Murray | 0.0760 | 0.0590 | 54.2 |
| 4 | Wendell Carter Jr. | 0.0463 | 0.0210 | 51.0 |
| 5 | Mikal Bridges | 0.0669 | 0.0540 | 50.5 |
| 6 | Austin Reaves | 0.0549 | 0.0784 | 50.4 |
| 7 | Desmond Bane | 0.0924 | 0.0744 | 48.1 |
| 8 | De'Andre Hunter | 0.0593 | 0.0902 | 47.3 |
| 9 | Stephon Castle | 0.0619 | 0.0439 | 46.8 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivica Zubac | 0.0619 | 0.0000 | 170.3 |
| 2 | Rudy Gobert | 0.0619 | 0.0000 | 155.0 |
| 3 | Jalen Duren | 0.0619 | 0.0000 | 132.0 |
| 4 | Jakob Poeltl | 0.0619 | 0.0006 | 108.4 |
| 5 | Zaccharie Risacher | 0.0130 | 0.0662 | 92.4 |
| 6 | Bub Carrington | 0.0191 | 0.0561 | 83.6 |
| 7 | Matas Buzelis | 0.0151 | 0.0635 | 68.5 |
| 8 | Sam Hauser | 0.0619 | 0.1077 | 66.0 |
| 9 | Naji Marshall | 0.0619 | 0.0313 | 64.5 |
FG%
Everybody Missed for FG%
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges | 0.5004 |
0.4526
(169.2)
|
0.4678
(117.0)
|
| Draymond Green | 0.4244 |
0.5014
(137.0)
|
0.5080
(154.3)
|
| Jarrett Allen | 0.7063 |
0.6353
(181.2)
|
0.6448
(154.6)
|
| Jalen Duren | 0.6923 |
0.6289
(145.1)
|
0.6265
(145.7)
|
| Yves Missi | 0.5467 |
0.4706
(164.5)
|
0.4819
(138.4)
|
| Nikola Vučević | 0.5299 |
0.4864
(117.1)
|
0.4897
(105.0)
|
| Jerami Grant | 0.3728 |
0.4553
(113.5)
|
0.4537
(114.3)
|
| Ochai Agbaji | 0.4981 |
0.4283
(135.3)
|
0.4163
(152.6)
|
| Kyshawn George | 0.3718 |
0.4706
(163.8)
|
0.4706
(167.5)
|
| Nic Claxton | 0.5634 |
0.6508
(149.5)
|
0.6463
(144.9)
|
| Dyson Daniels | 0.4930 |
0.4578
(110.7)
|
0.4425
(144.8)
|
| Josh Green | 0.4276 |
0.5051
(131.4)
|
0.4938
(113.9)
|
| Josh Hart | 0.5247 |
0.4651
(195.7)
|
0.4550
(219.0)
|
| Christian Braun | 0.5798 |
0.4789
(291.0)
|
0.4677
(315.5)
|
| Jalen Williams | 0.4837 |
0.5416
(111.6)
|
0.5372
(106.4)
|
Individual Misses for FG%
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bub Carrington | 0.4706 | 0.4011 | 151.4 |
| 2 | Naji Marshall | 0.4508 | 0.5084 | 125.8 |
| 3 | Alex Sarr | 0.4706 | 0.3937 | 125.1 |
| 4 | Zach LaVine | 0.4733 | 0.5110 | 119.0 |
| 5 | Harrison Barnes | 0.4696 | 0.5081 | 103.6 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keon Johnson | 0.4706 | 0.3890 | 145.9 |
| 2 | Quentin Grimes | 0.4053 | 0.4666 | 135.1 |
| 3 | Al Horford | 0.5071 | 0.4230 | 129.8 |
| 4 | Wendell Carter Jr. | 0.5253 | 0.4603 | 104.0 |
| 5 | Onyeka Okongwu | 0.6234 | 0.5673 | 103.7 |
FT%
Everybody Missed for FT%
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Duren | 0.6694 |
0.7500
(163.1)
|
0.7444
(157.3)
|
| Kyle Kuzma | 0.6337 |
0.7586
(241.2)
|
0.7671
(263.0)
|
| Jakob Poeltl | 0.6736 |
0.5714
(172.9)
|
0.5577
(191.4)
|
| RJ Barrett | 0.6302 |
0.7314
(188.5)
|
0.7185
(169.5)
|
| Sam Hauser | 1.0000 |
0.8148
(286.0)
|
0.7934
(314.6)
|
| Chris Paul | 0.9239 |
0.8202
(238.5)
|
0.8281
(214.1)
|
| Luguentz Dort | 0.7174 |
0.8081
(187.4)
|
0.8111
(199.3)
|
| Anthony Black | 0.7614 |
0.6477
(215.3)
|
0.6071
(286.6)
|
| Keon Ellis | 0.8488 |
0.7451
(202.8)
|
0.7179
(250.3)
|
| Christian Braun | 0.8271 |
0.7000
(341.1)
|
0.6797
(388.0)
|
| Jaden McDaniels | 0.8125 |
0.7391
(192.8)
|
0.7263
(219.1)
|
| Gabe Vincent | 0.7143 |
0.8421
(194.6)
|
0.8298
(180.1)
|
| Tyus Jones | 0.8947 |
0.8033
(199.6)
|
0.8036
(193.0)
|
Individual Misses for FT%
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yves Missi | 0.7934 | 0.6225 | 333.5 |
| 2 | Kyle Filipowski | 0.7934 | 0.6503 | 217.1 |
| 3 | Dyson Daniels | 0.6774 | 0.5929 | 216.4 |
| 4 | Alex Sarr | 0.7934 | 0.6788 | 207.3 |
| 5 | Isaiah Collier | 0.7934 | 0.6818 | 204.6 |
| 6 | Malik Beasley | 0.7660 | 0.6786 | 198.6 |
| 7 | Haywood Highsmith | 0.6222 | 0.7209 | 180.2 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaccharie Risacher | 0.8195 | 0.7114 | 203.8 |
| 2 | Corey Kispert | 0.7342 | 0.8523 | 185.3 |
| 3 | De'Aaron Fox | 0.7435 | 0.8270 | 181.8 |
| 4 | Brandin Podziemski | 0.6556 | 0.7579 | 171.5 |
| 5 | Julian Champagnie | 0.8193 | 0.9043 | 159.6 |
| 6 | Michael Porter Jr. | 0.8255 | 0.7680 | 155.2 |
| 7 | Max Christie | 0.7805 | 0.8553 | 154.0 |