2016-17 Fantasy Projection Accuracy

Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2016-17, excluding players with fewer than 1,500 minutes. Limited to minutes, games, minutes per game, and 9-cat rates.

Summary

System MIN G MIN/G PTS/MIN REB/MIN AST/MIN STL/MIN BLK/MIN TOV/MIN 3PM/MIN FG% FT%
SPS
ESPN

Playing Time

Minutes

Individual Misses for Minutes

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Ingram 500 2279 1779.3
2 Wilson Chandler 500 2197 1696.7
3 Dario Saric 500 2129 1629.0
4 Malcolm Brogdon 500 1982 1482.4
5 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 882 2349 1467.6
6 Rodney McGruder 500 1966 1465.9
7 Buddy Hield 500 1888 1388.2
8 Jamal Murray 500 1765 1264.6
9 Marquese Chriss 500 1743 1243.4
10 Myles Turner 1338 2541 1203.5

Games

Individual Misses for Games

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Buddy Hield 0 82 82.0
2 Jamal Murray 0 82 82.0
3 Marquese Chriss 0 82 82.0
4 Dario Saric 0 81 81.0
5 Domantas Sabonis 0 81 81.0
6 Dorian Finney-Smith 0 81 81.0
7 Brandon Ingram 0 79 79.0
8 Rodney McGruder 0 78 78.0
9 Malcolm Brogdon 0 75 75.0
10 Isaiah Whitehead 0 73 73.0

Rate Stats

MIN/G

Individual Misses for MIN/G

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dennis Schröder 19.7481 31.4535 25191.3
2 Seth Curry 16.4190 28.9861 22319.2
3 Joe Johnson 32.9879 23.6273 20139.2
4 Solomon Hill 20.1000 29.6788 19021.8
5 Maurice Harkless 18.8079 28.8710 18886.7
6 Andre Roberson 20.5851 30.0739 18820.2
7 Tony Snell 19.8366 29.1957 18199.0
8 Myles Turner 22.6695 31.3704 18126.7
9 T.J. Warren 20.7661 31.0308 17812.5
10 Domantas Sabonis 29.3993 20.1418 17660.5

PTS/MIN

Individual Misses for PTS/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Russell Westbrook 0.7110 0.9130 513.5
2 Giannis Antetokounmpo 0.4525 0.6439 491.3
3 Rodney McGruder 0.4702 0.2528 464.2
4 Isaiah Thomas 0.6597 0.8558 455.7
5 Dorian Finney-Smith 0.4702 0.2132 452.8
6 Harrison Barnes 0.3754 0.5415 413.1
7 Kawhi Leonard 0.5895 0.7630 383.0
8 Brandon Ingram 0.4702 0.3247 374.4
9 DeMar DeRozan 0.6216 0.7709 342.1
10 Monta Ellis 0.4615 0.3154 329.4

REB/MIN

Individual Misses for REB/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Russell Westbrook 0.2193 0.3084 257.6
2 James Harden 0.1569 0.2236 205.0
3 Aaron Gordon 0.2630 0.1762 192.8
4 Dwight Howard 0.3522 0.4275 171.8
5 Avery Bradley 0.0975 0.1821 160.4
6 Dario Saric 0.1766 0.2410 143.0
7 Nikola Vučević 0.2985 0.3602 139.4
8 Patrick Beverley 0.1281 0.1910 135.2
9 Malcolm Brogdon 0.1766 0.1074 131.6
10 Jon Leuer 0.2763 0.2068 129.6

AST/MIN

Individual Misses for AST/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Harden 0.1882 0.3078 338.9
2 Sergio Rodriguez 0.1020 0.2267 182.2
3 Marquese Chriss 0.1020 0.0344 125.8
4 Nikola Jokić 0.1106 0.1762 124.2
5 Julius Randle 0.0662 0.1238 112.9
6 LeBron James 0.1866 0.2312 111.7
7 Giannis Antetokounmpo 0.1093 0.1525 110.0
8 Dorian Finney-Smith 0.1020 0.0408 108.0
9 Al Horford 0.1001 0.1537 107.3
10 James Johnson 0.0763 0.1324 107.3

STL/MIN

Individual Misses for STL/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Draymond Green 0.0454 0.0623 45.8
2 Giannis Antetokounmpo 0.0326 0.0460 43.1
3 Jae Crowder 0.0508 0.0313 41.7
4 Steven Adams 0.0230 0.0372 38.1
5 Greg Monroe 0.0333 0.0505 34.4
6 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 0.0215 0.0345 34.3
7 Ricky Rubio 0.0673 0.0518 34.1
8 Terrence Ross 0.0294 0.0445 32.9
9 Paul Millsap 0.0538 0.0384 32.2
10 Andre Drummond 0.0403 0.0515 31.0

BLK/MIN

Individual Misses for BLK/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hassan Whiteside 0.1171 0.0641 128.6
2 Karl-Anthony Towns 0.0520 0.0340 49.0
3 Giannis Antetokounmpo 0.0377 0.0531 48.9
4 Marcin Gortat 0.0422 0.0239 42.2
5 Kevin Durant 0.0299 0.0478 40.9
6 Marquese Chriss 0.0187 0.0402 40.5
7 Bismack Biyombo 0.0736 0.0507 37.7
8 Tristan Thompson 0.0233 0.0360 33.9
9 Paul Millsap 0.0426 0.0265 33.5
10 Alex Len 0.0441 0.0628 32.1

TOV/MIN

Individual Misses for TOV/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Harden 0.1118 0.1575 136.4
2 Russell Westbrook 0.1228 0.1563 95.5
3 Dario Saric 0.0574 0.0860 62.0
4 Rodney McGruder 0.0574 0.0285 55.7
5 Nikola Jokić 0.0579 0.0839 54.2
6 Gorgui Dieng 0.0612 0.0403 53.7
7 Kevin Durant 0.0922 0.0667 51.6
8 Lou Williams 0.0552 0.0803 51.1
9 Anthony Davis 0.0486 0.0668 50.9
10 James Johnson 0.0587 0.0820 49.9

3PM/MIN

Individual Misses for 3PM/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brook Lopez 0.0020 0.0603 115.6
2 Marc Gasol 0.0023 0.0411 82.3
3 Russell Westbrook 0.0373 0.0714 77.9
4 Kemba Walker 0.0551 0.0876 71.8
5 Eric Gordon 0.0689 0.1059 71.2
6 DeMarcus Cousins 0.0201 0.0531 65.8
7 Isaiah Thomas 0.0635 0.0954 65.7
8 Derrick Rose 0.0295 0.0062 61.5
9 Robert Covington 0.0859 0.0647 58.3
10 Brandon Ingram 0.0433 0.0241 58.0

FG%

Individual Misses for FG%

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rudy Gobert 0.5714 0.6608 242.6
2 Luc Mbah a Moute 0.4206 0.5053 149.6
3 Dorian Finney-Smith 0.4614 0.3724 147.7
4 Draymond Green 0.4731 0.4185 137.5
5 Brandon Ingram 0.4614 0.4023 136.8
6 Andre Iguodala 0.4668 0.5277 119.7
7 Tony Snell 0.4032 0.4547 118.1
8 Nikola Jokić 0.5199 0.5785 117.3
9 Jameer Nelson 0.3861 0.4437 115.7
10 Cody Zeller 0.5035 0.5711 115.0

FT%

Individual Misses for FT%

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andre Roberson 0.6167 0.4234 483.2
2 Brandon Ingram 0.7765 0.6215 376.4
3 Tristan Thompson 0.6438 0.4977 365.2
4 Thaddeus Young 0.6601 0.5233 328.8
5 Rodney McGruder 0.7765 0.6197 328.1
6 Jrue Holiday 0.8415 0.7083 313.8
7 Harrison Barnes 0.7462 0.8612 294.1
8 Marquese Chriss 0.7765 0.6243 283.0
9 T.J. McConnell 0.6739 0.8111 271.1
10 CJ McCollum 0.8081 0.9116 260.8