2014-15 Fantasy Projection Accuracy

Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2014-15, excluding players with fewer than 1,500 minutes. Limited to minutes, games, minutes per game, and 9-cat rates.

Summary

System MIN G MIN/G PTS/MIN REB/MIN AST/MIN STL/MIN BLK/MIN TOV/MIN 3PM/MIN FG% FT%
SPS
ESPN

Playing Time

Minutes

Individual Misses for Minutes

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Wiggins 500 2969 2468.8
2 Elfrid Payton 500 2489 1988.7
3 Nerlens Noel 500 2311 1811.2
4 Solomon Hill 730 2381 1651.1
5 Zach LaVine 500 1902 1401.7
6 Bojan Bogdanovic 500 1854 1353.9
7 Robert Covington 628 1956 1327.9
8 Eric Bledsoe 1481 2800 1318.5
9 Dante Exum 500 1817 1317.0
10 Rudy Gobert 841 2158 1317.0

Games

Individual Misses for Games

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Wiggins 0 82 82.0
2 Dante Exum 0 82 82.0
3 Elfrid Payton 0 82 82.0
4 Nikola Mirotic 0 82 82.0
5 Joe Ingles 0 79 79.0
6 Bojan Bogdanovic 0 78 78.0
7 Zach LaVine 0 77 77.0
8 Nerlens Noel 0 75 75.0
9 Marcus Smart 0 67 67.0
10 Al Horford 40 76 36.0

Rate Stats

MIN/G

Individual Misses for MIN/G

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Solomon Hill 11.2292 29.0361 39367.9
2 Gorgui Dieng 14.5857 30.0415 31104.4
3 Rudy Gobert 11.5260 26.3223 29190.0
4 Draymond Green 19.4440 31.5189 26897.8
5 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 20.0181 31.5464 26530.0
6 Donatas Motiejunas 15.1342 28.6897 25020.1
7 Robert Covington 14.2727 27.9417 24246.7
8 Eric Bledsoe 25.5362 34.5626 21707.8
9 Shane Larkin 11.9192 24.5339 21148.5
10 Josh Smith 34.6875 27.7171 18962.8

PTS/MIN

Individual Misses for PTS/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Love 0.6895 0.4850 524.9
2 Jimmy Butler III 0.3435 0.5176 430.5
3 Klay Thompson 0.5056 0.6795 420.0
4 Dante Exum 0.4395 0.2163 410.8
5 Elfrid Payton 0.4395 0.2937 369.9
6 Joe Ingles 0.4395 0.2368 343.9
7 Nikola Vučević 0.4281 0.5647 338.2
8 Russell Westbrook 0.6769 0.8194 321.4
9 Lou Williams 0.4602 0.6162 308.8
10 Marc Gasol 0.4183 0.5259 281.4

REB/MIN

Individual Misses for REB/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DeAndre Jordan 0.3556 0.4347 222.6
2 Nerlens Noel 0.1780 0.2644 199.2
3 Dante Exum 0.1780 0.0721 192.7
4 Pau Gasol 0.2806 0.3428 166.4
5 Tyson Chandler 0.3081 0.3780 159.2
6 Andrew Wiggins 0.1780 0.1260 155.0
7 Kevin Love 0.3445 0.2887 141.7
8 Gorgui Dieng 0.3389 0.2777 134.6
9 Zach LaVine 0.1780 0.1125 124.8
10 Joe Ingles 0.1780 0.1046 123.0

AST/MIN

Individual Misses for AST/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elfrid Payton 0.0988 0.2142 279.4
2 Evan Turner 0.1122 0.1987 188.6
3 Goran Dragic 0.1821 0.1326 138.8
4 Reggie Jackson 0.1406 0.2037 136.3
5 Andrew Wiggins 0.0988 0.0573 132.5
6 Ty Lawson 0.2197 0.2701 126.4
7 Greivis Vasquez 0.2100 0.1517 122.0
8 Bojan Bogdanovic 0.0988 0.0367 120.9
9 Kevin Love 0.1100 0.0664 118.3
10 JJ Redick 0.1015 0.0569 115.0

STL/MIN

Individual Misses for STL/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elfrid Payton 0.0329 0.0571 60.2
2 Nerlens Noel 0.0329 0.0575 57.0
3 Stephen Curry 0.0441 0.0624 47.9
4 Chris Paul 0.0692 0.0546 41.6
5 Khris Middleton 0.0343 0.0513 40.5
6 Marcus Smart 0.0329 0.0547 39.6
7 Jeff Teague 0.0391 0.0561 37.9
8 Brandon Knight 0.0278 0.0442 33.5
9 Goran Dragic 0.0421 0.0295 33.0
10 Kawhi Leonard 0.0572 0.0728 31.9

BLK/MIN

Individual Misses for BLK/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nerlens Noel 0.0192 0.0614 100.2
2 Alex Len 0.0408 0.0692 44.9
3 Pau Gasol 0.0425 0.0548 36.2
4 DeMarcus Cousins 0.0348 0.0512 35.3
5 Serge Ibaka 0.0888 0.0733 30.4
6 Rudy Gobert 0.0749 0.0876 29.9
7 Markieff Morris 0.0276 0.0151 29.3
8 James Harden 0.0117 0.0201 28.7
9 Klay Thompson 0.0139 0.0244 28.7
10 Elfrid Payton 0.0192 0.0080 25.0

TOV/MIN

Individual Misses for TOV/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach LaVine 0.0587 0.1015 82.7
2 Elfrid Payton 0.0587 0.0816 58.7
3 Paul Pierce 0.0779 0.0481 55.6
4 LeBron James 0.0880 0.1091 54.4
5 DeMarcus Cousins 0.1003 0.1262 53.6
6 Jarrett Jack 0.0625 0.0852 52.8
7 Shane Larkin 0.0724 0.0445 50.6
8 Russell Westbrook 0.1062 0.1273 50.4
9 James Harden 0.0925 0.1077 47.7
10 Kevin Love 0.0676 0.0482 47.1

3PM/MIN

Individual Misses for 3PM/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nerlens Noel 0.0340 0.0000 84.9
2 Elfrid Payton 0.0340 0.0044 80.4
3 Andrew Wiggins 0.0340 0.0131 70.1
4 Robert Covington 0.0478 0.0854 68.3
5 Giannis Antetokounmpo 0.0229 0.0028 58.2
6 Serge Ibaka 0.0091 0.0364 52.1
7 Joe Johnson 0.0587 0.0434 50.4
8 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 0.0375 0.0591 49.1
9 Klay Thompson 0.0751 0.0974 47.9
10 Stephen Curry 0.0895 0.1094 45.0

FG%

Individual Misses for FG%

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rudy Gobert 0.4863 0.6042 267.4
2 Andre Drummond 0.6242 0.5140 260.6
3 Dante Exum 0.4562 0.3486 184.7
4 DeAndre Jordan 0.6527 0.7097 177.9
5 Tyson Chandler 0.5975 0.6659 170.1
6 Lance Stephenson 0.4874 0.3764 165.3
7 LeBron James 0.5583 0.4879 160.7
8 Giannis Antetokounmpo 0.4351 0.4910 157.2
9 Marcus Smart 0.4562 0.3669 150.7
10 Tristan Thompson 0.4872 0.5471 144.6

FT%

Individual Misses for FT%

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elfrid Payton 0.7576 0.5514 500.5
2 Rajon Rondo 0.6333 0.3974 466.0
3 Nerlens Noel 0.7576 0.6087 332.4
4 Trey Burke 0.8866 0.7517 297.0
5 Gorgui Dieng 0.6579 0.7828 285.0
6 Joakim Noah 0.7430 0.6034 275.4
7 Mason Plumlee 0.6432 0.4953 249.0
8 Trevor Ariza 0.7785 0.8531 233.5
9 Dante Exum 0.7576 0.6250 231.7
10 Al Horford 0.6667 0.7589 225.5