2015-16 Fantasy Projection Accuracy

Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2015-16, excluding players with fewer than 1,500 minutes. Limited to minutes, games, minutes per game, and 9-cat rates.

Summary

System MIN G MIN/G PTS/MIN REB/MIN AST/MIN STL/MIN BLK/MIN TOV/MIN 3PM/MIN FG% FT%
SPS
ESPN

Playing Time

Minutes

Individual Misses for Minutes

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Karl-Anthony Towns 500 2626 2126.5
2 Paul George 946 2819 1872.4
3 D'Angelo Russell 500 2259 1759.1
4 Justise Winslow 500 2232 1732.1
5 Julius Randle 629 2286 1657.6
6 CJ McCollum 1154 2780 1625.3
7 Devin Booker 500 2108 1607.7
8 Emmanuel Mudiay 500 2068 1567.9
9 Kristaps Porziņģis 500 2046 1546.5
10 Gary Harris 994 2439 1444.6

Games

Individual Misses for Games

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Karl-Anthony Towns 0 82 82.0
2 Frank Kaminsky 0 81 81.0
3 T.J. McConnell 0 81 81.0
4 D'Angelo Russell 0 80 80.0
5 Nikola Jokić 0 80 80.0
6 Justise Winslow 0 78 78.0
7 Devin Booker 0 76 76.0
8 Stanley Johnson 0 73 73.0
9 Kristaps Porziņģis 0 72 72.0
10 Emmanuel Mudiay 0 68 68.0

Rate Stats

MIN/G

Individual Misses for MIN/G

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 CJ McCollum 15.6014 34.7470 48157.1
2 Gary Harris 14.2000 32.0873 39178.7
3 Marcus Morris Sr. 23.5494 35.7056 29520.9
4 Ish Smith 14.8853 29.0755 27691.0
5 Will Barton 15.2560 28.6997 27351.3
6 Jae Crowder 18.8819 31.6190 25195.3
7 Otto Porter Jr. 17.5747 30.3450 24918.1
8 Rodney Hood 21.4704 32.1648 22546.2
9 Allen Crabbe 13.7225 25.9871 21982.3
10 Kent Bazemore 15.8256 27.7706 21085.3

PTS/MIN

Individual Misses for PTS/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justise Winslow 0.4528 0.2249 529.2
2 Stephen Curry 0.6841 0.8796 503.2
3 CJ McCollum 0.4374 0.5993 424.6
4 Monta Ellis 0.5346 0.4100 365.6
5 Kawhi Leonard 0.4877 0.6400 340.7
6 Damian Lillard 0.5763 0.7022 312.5
7 Reggie Jackson 0.4795 0.6142 304.4
8 Karl-Anthony Towns 0.4528 0.5722 289.7
9 Andrew Wiggins 0.4793 0.5888 285.5
10 Wesley Matthews 0.4679 0.3695 284.3

REB/MIN

Individual Misses for REB/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julius Randle 0.1702 0.3626 432.3
2 Karl-Anthony Towns 0.1824 0.3267 370.3
3 Nikola Jokić 0.1824 0.3232 238.3
4 Thaddeus Young 0.1767 0.2742 226.8
5 Devin Booker 0.1824 0.0887 204.4
6 Zaza Pachulia 0.2725 0.3583 165.3
7 Emmanuel Mudiay 0.1824 0.1122 152.0
8 Kristaps Porziņģis 0.1824 0.2570 146.0
9 D'Angelo Russell 0.1824 0.1213 145.5
10 Enes Freedom 0.3015 0.3859 139.5

AST/MIN

Individual Misses for AST/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Draymond Green 0.1059 0.2130 294.2
2 T.J. McConnell 0.0985 0.2285 205.2
3 Russell Westbrook 0.2336 0.3033 185.5
4 Rajon Rondo 0.2631 0.3307 165.8
5 Jordan Clarkson 0.1372 0.0752 164.1
6 Emmanuel Mudiay 0.0985 0.1799 163.6
7 CJ McCollum 0.0684 0.1227 144.5
8 Jimmy Butler III 0.0775 0.1298 123.6
9 Mason Plumlee 0.0476 0.1085 122.1
10 Shane Larkin 0.1241 0.1954 120.7

STL/MIN

Individual Misses for STL/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 T.J. McConnell 0.0333 0.0592 43.2
2 Wesley Johnson 0.0299 0.0534 41.0
3 Otto Porter Jr. 0.0310 0.0461 36.9
4 Kyle Lowry 0.0437 0.0554 36.4
5 Evan Fournier 0.0253 0.0374 33.8
6 Rajon Rondo 0.0436 0.0556 33.2
7 Al-Farouq Aminu 0.0458 0.0308 32.8
8 Avery Bradley 0.0346 0.0461 32.0
9 Andre Drummond 0.0340 0.0446 31.2
10 Elfrid Payton 0.0570 0.0415 31.1

BLK/MIN

Individual Misses for BLK/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kristaps Porziņģis 0.0203 0.0655 92.5
2 Karl-Anthony Towns 0.0203 0.0525 84.7
3 Hassan Whiteside 0.0976 0.1266 61.6
4 Paul Millsap 0.0296 0.0525 60.6
5 Alex Len 0.0647 0.0341 55.8
6 Anthony Davis 0.0791 0.0578 46.0
7 Serge Ibaka 0.0770 0.0592 44.4
8 Andre Drummond 0.0584 0.0420 43.5
9 Marvin Williams 0.0186 0.0329 33.6
10 D'Angelo Russell 0.0203 0.0058 32.9

TOV/MIN

Individual Misses for TOV/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Draymond Green 0.0522 0.0922 111.2
2 Emmanuel Mudiay 0.0590 0.1049 94.0
3 Kobe Bryant 0.1047 0.0692 66.9
4 Zach LaVine 0.0947 0.0676 63.1
5 D'Angelo Russell 0.0590 0.0868 61.6
6 Shane Larkin 0.0482 0.0834 60.9
7 James Harden 0.1007 0.1197 57.9
8 Gerald Green 0.0661 0.0295 57.7
9 Nicolas Batum 0.0614 0.0838 53.7
10 JR Smith 0.0472 0.0250 53.5

3PM/MIN

Individual Misses for 3PM/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Stephen Curry 0.0999 0.1489 124.2
2 Al-Farouq Aminu 0.0159 0.0538 81.8
3 Karl-Anthony Towns 0.0372 0.0114 75.3
4 Al Horford 0.0054 0.0334 66.0
5 Julius Randle 0.0302 0.0044 65.8
6 Derrick Rose 0.0487 0.0210 64.3
7 Jahlil Okafor 0.0372 0.0006 62.8
8 DeMarcus Cousins 0.0022 0.0312 58.6
9 Justise Winslow 0.0372 0.0143 57.5
10 Randy Foye 0.0773 0.0457 56.7

FG%

Individual Misses for FG%

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gary Harris 0.3475 0.4693 296.6
2 Karl-Anthony Towns 0.4586 0.5421 218.8
3 Emmanuel Mudiay 0.4586 0.3635 196.9
4 Tristan Thompson 0.5174 0.5881 160.1
5 Alex Len 0.5058 0.4231 150.8
6 Mason Plumlee 0.5878 0.5164 149.0
7 Draymond Green 0.4367 0.4896 148.4
8 Steven Adams 0.5391 0.6127 148.0
9 Ian Mahinmi 0.5080 0.5893 147.4
10 Wesley Matthews 0.4430 0.3876 146.8

FT%

Individual Misses for FT%

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kent Bazemore 0.6148 0.8146 400.9
2 CJ McCollum 0.7079 0.8274 312.0
3 Thabo Sefolosha 0.7656 0.6263 257.9
4 Hassan Whiteside 0.5226 0.6505 256.2
5 Jared Sullinger 0.7655 0.6398 254.9
6 Doug McDermott 0.7143 0.8571 252.1
7 Wesley Johnson 0.7912 0.6522 243.8
8 Danny Green 0.8469 0.7391 237.4
9 T.J. McConnell 0.7671 0.6341 225.3
10 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 0.7236 0.8114 224.4