2020-21 Fantasy Projection Accuracy
Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2020-21, excluding players with fewer than 1,500 minutes. Limited to minutes, games, minutes per game, and 9-cat rates.
Playing Time
Minutes
Everybody Missed for Minutes
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 1949 |
1123
(826.0)
|
1182
(767.7)
|
| Jae'Sean Tate | 2043 |
500
(1542.7)
|
500
(1542.7)
|
| Theo Maledon | 1778 |
500
(1277.7)
|
500
(1277.7)
|
| Dwayne Bacon | 1853 |
1032
(821.0)
|
1109
(743.6)
|
| Julius Randle | 2667 |
1874
(792.2)
|
2085
(581.4)
|
| Desmond Bane | 1519 |
500
(1019.0)
|
500
(1019.0)
|
| Norman Powell | 2205 |
1452
(753.4)
|
1581
(624.2)
|
| Jaden McDaniels | 1511 |
500
(1010.8)
|
500
(1010.8)
|
| Keldon Johnson | 1968 |
777
(1190.5)
|
930
(1037.8)
|
Individual Misses for Minutes
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Edwards | 500 | 2314 | 1814.2 |
| 2 | Isaac Okoro | 500 | 2173 | 1673.2 |
| 3 | Patrick Williams | 500 | 1983 | 1483.4 |
| 4 | Saddiq Bey | 500 | 1909 | 1409.0 |
| 5 | Stephen Curry | 889 | 2152 | 1262.3 |
| 6 | Tyrese Haliburton | 500 | 1746 | 1245.7 |
| 7 | Zion Williamson | 973 | 2026 | 1052.6 |
| 8 | RJ Barrett | 1513 | 2511 | 997.7 |
| 9 | Michael Porter Jr. | 1083 | 1912 | 829.0 |
| 10 | Nicolas Batum | 1072 | 1835 | 763.2 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jakob Poeltl | 1098 | 1845 | 746.6 |
| 2 | CJ McCollum | 2336 | 1600 | 736.6 |
| 3 | James Harden | 2318 | 1609 | 709.4 |
| 4 | Kelly Olynyk | 1365 | 1997 | 631.9 |
| 5 | Karl-Anthony Towns | 2318 | 1689 | 629.3 |
| 6 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | 2301 | 1688 | 613.5 |
| 7 | LeBron James | 2110 | 1504 | 606.8 |
| 8 | Kyle Lowry | 2190 | 1602 | 589.0 |
| 9 | Cedi Osman | 2086 | 1511 | 576.0 |
| 10 | Josh Jackson | 994 | 1560 | 566.0 |
Games
Everybody Missed for Games
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane | 68 |
0
(68.0)
|
0
(68.0)
|
| Jae'Sean Tate | 70 |
0
(70.0)
|
0
(70.0)
|
| Theo Maledon | 65 |
0
(65.0)
|
0
(65.0)
|
| Jaden McDaniels | 63 |
0
(63.0)
|
0
(63.0)
|
Individual Misses for Games
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Edwards | 0 | 72 | 72.0 |
| 2 | Patrick Williams | 0 | 71 | 71.0 |
| 3 | Saddiq Bey | 0 | 70 | 70.0 |
| 4 | Isaac Okoro | 0 | 67 | 67.0 |
| 5 | Tyrese Haliburton | 0 | 58 | 58.0 |
| 6 | Stephen Curry | 28 | 63 | 35.0 |
| 7 | Keldon Johnson | 40 | 69 | 29.0 |
| 8 | Nicolas Batum | 38 | 67 | 29.0 |
| 9 | Zion Williamson | 36 | 61 | 25.0 |
| 10 | Reggie Bullock Jr. | 42 | 65 | 23.0 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Harden | 67 | 44 | 23.0 |
| 2 | CJ McCollum | 66 | 47 | 19.0 |
| 3 | Kyle Lowry | 65 | 46 | 19.0 |
| 4 | LeBron James | 63 | 45 | 18.0 |
| 5 | Jamal Murray | 65 | 48 | 17.0 |
| 6 | Karl-Anthony Towns | 67 | 50 | 17.0 |
| 7 | Donovan Mitchell | 68 | 53 | 15.0 |
| 8 | Enes Freedom | 58 | 72 | 14.0 |
| 9 | Jimmy Butler III | 66 | 52 | 14.0 |
| 10 | Marcus Smart | 62 | 48 | 14.0 |
Rate Stats
MIN/G
Everybody Missed for MIN/G
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Trent Jr. | 31.0687 |
20.5531
(14752.6)
|
24.4000
(10330.0)
|
| Kelly Olynyk | 28.5270 |
21.2358
(9909.5)
|
21.0000
(13161.3)
|
| Jakob Poeltl | 26.7411 |
17.7147
(12358.1)
|
16.9000
(16430.8)
|
| Dwayne Bacon | 25.7331 |
17.7897
(10402.9)
|
18.8000
(11111.1)
|
| Julius Randle | 37.5597 |
30.7295
(12004.2)
|
33.1000
(9396.4)
|
| Desmond Bane | 22.3377 |
30.7634
(16335.5)
|
30.7634
(14220.2)
|
| Norman Powell | 31.9635 |
23.8049
(12857.7)
|
25.1000
(13072.7)
|
| Jaden McDaniels | 23.9807 |
30.7634
(13765.4)
|
30.7634
(11661.5)
|
| Lonnie Walker IV | 25.3641 |
15.8208
(10979.3)
|
18.2000
(9477.9)
|
| Keldon Johnson | 28.5186 |
19.4325
(13297.2)
|
15.5000
(23775.8)
|
Individual Misses for MIN/G
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Porter Jr. | 17.1937 | 31.3484 | 22614.3 |
| 2 | Darius Bazley | 18.9625 | 31.1674 | 16929.7 |
| 3 | Carmelo Anthony | 31.3837 | 24.4948 | 15579.0 |
| 4 | Saddiq Bey | 30.7634 | 27.2717 | 11111.3 |
| 5 | Patrick Williams | 30.7634 | 27.9346 | 10229.2 |
| 6 | Theo Maledon | 30.7634 | 27.3493 | 10209.1 |
| 7 | Dejounte Murray | 24.9051 | 31.9316 | 10050.5 |
| 8 | Royce O'Neale | 24.8861 | 31.5561 | 9726.4 |
| 9 | Ricky Rubio | 29.2115 | 26.0525 | 9721.8 |
| 10 | Thaddeus Young | 27.4508 | 24.2970 | 9058.3 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggie Bullock Jr. | 21.1000 | 29.9888 | 15501.9 |
| 2 | Dorian Finney-Smith | 25.1000 | 32.0090 | 11471.1 |
| 3 | Cedi Osman | 32.1000 | 25.6018 | 11229.5 |
| 4 | Buddy Hield | 28.9000 | 34.2656 | 10776.3 |
| 5 | Kyle Anderson | 20.8000 | 27.3527 | 10600.3 |
| 6 | Isaac Okoro | 26.9000 | 32.4363 | 9997.4 |
| 7 | T.J. McConnell | 19.7000 | 26.0318 | 9691.8 |
| 8 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | 35.4000 | 30.6827 | 9540.4 |
| 9 | Terry Rozier | 29.7000 | 34.5421 | 9309.5 |
| 10 | Josh Jackson | 18.4000 | 25.1548 | 9074.9 |
PTS/MIN
Everybody Missed for PTS/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 0.7155 |
0.5615
(299.4)
|
0.5761
(293.6)
|
| Kyle Anderson | 0.4525 |
0.3001
(279.8)
|
0.2928
(315.6)
|
| James Harden | 0.6732 |
0.9228
(408.3)
|
0.8770
(315.9)
|
| Terry Rozier | 0.5903 |
0.4838
(243.8)
|
0.4970
(240.3)
|
| Eric Bledsoe | 0.4116 |
0.5446
(289.8)
|
0.5584
(294.2)
|
| Robert Covington | 0.2644 |
0.4034
(321.0)
|
0.4579
(417.2)
|
| Jerami Grant | 0.6587 |
0.4395
(393.4)
|
0.4655
(367.2)
|
| Jae'Sean Tate | 0.3887 |
0.5197
(276.2)
|
0.5197
(252.4)
|
| Theo Maledon | 0.3701 |
0.5197
(273.4)
|
0.5197
(252.6)
|
| Buddy Hield | 0.4834 |
0.6172
(335.8)
|
0.6137
(298.8)
|
| Jaden McDaniels | 0.2826 |
0.5197
(364.5)
|
0.5197
(346.9)
|
| Stephen Curry | 0.9365 |
0.7659
(358.2)
|
0.8172
(272.8)
|
| Nerlens Noel | 0.2095 |
0.3909
(287.0)
|
0.3903
(268.1)
|
Individual Misses for PTS/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isaac Okoro | 0.5197 | 0.2973 | 492.6 |
| 2 | Patrick Williams | 0.5197 | 0.3302 | 384.1 |
| 3 | Nikola Jokić | 0.6238 | 0.7629 | 335.7 |
| 4 | Jayson Tatum | 0.6121 | 0.7390 | 281.0 |
| 5 | Bradley Beal | 0.7542 | 0.8747 | 249.8 |
| 6 | De'Aaron Fox | 0.5964 | 0.7175 | 238.1 |
| 7 | Steven Adams | 0.4159 | 0.2730 | 236.0 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deandre Ayton | 0.6549 | 0.4715 | 372.1 |
| 2 | Anthony Edwards | 0.4871 | 0.6015 | 282.1 |
| 3 | Russell Westbrook | 0.7348 | 0.6100 | 277.8 |
| 4 | Mikal Bridges | 0.3105 | 0.4132 | 258.6 |
| 5 | Collin Sexton | 0.5885 | 0.6903 | 231.1 |
| 6 | Khris Middleton | 0.7175 | 0.6105 | 225.8 |
| 7 | Saddiq Bey | 0.3435 | 0.4489 | 215.5 |
REB/MIN
Everybody Missed for REB/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thaddeus Young | 0.2560 |
0.1994
(105.3)
|
0.2033
(95.5)
|
| Royce O'Neale | 0.2165 |
0.1864
(83.3)
|
0.1811
(90.5)
|
| Russell Westbrook | 0.3166 |
0.2517
(170.6)
|
0.2435
(185.0)
|
| Tyrese Haliburton | 0.0991 |
0.1822
(132.7)
|
0.1705
(115.9)
|
| Isaac Okoro | 0.0948 |
0.1822
(174.6)
|
0.1786
(171.1)
|
| James Harden | 0.2163 |
0.1765
(75.6)
|
0.1734
(77.1)
|
| Clint Capela | 0.4757 |
0.3903
(175.6)
|
0.3084
(327.0)
|
| Kyle Kuzma | 0.2134 |
0.1791
(80.9)
|
0.1798
(75.4)
|
| Eric Bledsoe | 0.1156 |
0.1613
(81.5)
|
0.1587
(80.6)
|
| Theo Maledon | 0.1187 |
0.1822
(100.3)
|
0.1822
(104.0)
|
| Rudy Gobert | 0.4390 |
0.3836
(136.9)
|
0.3932
(111.2)
|
| Harrison Barnes | 0.1831 |
0.1480
(88.8)
|
0.1466
(87.4)
|
| Carmelo Anthony | 0.1266 |
0.1873
(90.5)
|
0.1914
(101.0)
|
| Ivica Zubac | 0.3227 |
0.3808
(82.0)
|
0.3868
(95.1)
|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 0.3334 |
0.3956
(110.8)
|
0.3904
(104.6)
|
Individual Misses for REB/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enes Freedom | 0.4050 | 0.4524 | 95.8 |
| 2 | John Collins | 0.3107 | 0.2527 | 94.1 |
| 3 | Jonas Valanciunas | 0.4002 | 0.4421 | 86.1 |
| 4 | Will Barton | 0.1799 | 0.1302 | 74.0 |
| 5 | Michael Porter Jr. | 0.2779 | 0.2327 | 72.7 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerami Grant | 0.2077 | 0.1367 | 120.8 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | 0.2670 | 0.2177 | 89.8 |
| 3 | P.J. Washington | 0.1790 | 0.2140 | 78.1 |
| 4 | Daniel Theis | 0.2754 | 0.2224 | 76.8 |
| 5 | Jordan Clarkson | 0.1150 | 0.1507 | 74.2 |
AST/MIN
Everybody Missed for AST/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 0.1273 |
0.1809
(131.5)
|
0.1791
(130.0)
|
| Thaddeus Young | 0.1761 |
0.0753
(159.3)
|
0.0746
(158.8)
|
| Draymond Green | 0.2816 |
0.2115
(130.3)
|
0.2189
(113.3)
|
| Russell Westbrook | 0.3221 |
0.2340
(198.4)
|
0.2525
(152.0)
|
| Nicolas Batum | 0.0807 |
0.1204
(80.9)
|
0.1278
(96.6)
|
| James Harden | 0.2952 |
0.2045
(138.9)
|
0.2079
(131.7)
|
| Eric Bledsoe | 0.1269 |
0.1852
(132.3)
|
0.1867
(137.7)
|
| Chris Paul | 0.2828 |
0.2191
(130.6)
|
0.2285
(107.4)
|
| Domantas Sabonis | 0.1860 |
0.1313
(112.3)
|
0.1383
(94.1)
|
| Julius Randle | 0.1601 |
0.0987
(152.1)
|
0.0969
(154.1)
|
| Darius Garland | 0.1838 |
0.1270
(93.8)
|
0.1261
(93.4)
|
| Jaden McDaniels | 0.0470 |
0.1176
(113.2)
|
0.1176
(114.9)
|
| Jimmy Butler III | 0.2115 |
0.1520
(96.2)
|
0.1511
(95.9)
|
| Coby White | 0.1521 |
0.1075
(86.8)
|
0.1047
(90.5)
|
Individual Misses for AST/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Williams | 0.1176 | 0.0499 | 142.8 |
| 2 | Saddiq Bey | 0.1176 | 0.0498 | 137.8 |
| 3 | Isaac Okoro | 0.1176 | 0.0589 | 137.0 |
| 4 | Tyrese Haliburton | 0.1176 | 0.1770 | 96.1 |
| 5 | Jayson Tatum | 0.0810 | 0.1205 | 80.6 |
| 6 | DeMar DeRozan | 0.1633 | 0.2052 | 77.2 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khris Middleton | 0.1119 | 0.1631 | 103.8 |
| 2 | Malcolm Brogdon | 0.2112 | 0.1705 | 89.2 |
| 3 | Jae'Sean Tate | 0.1176 | 0.0871 | 73.3 |
| 4 | Jerami Grant | 0.0385 | 0.0831 | 71.5 |
| 5 | LeBron James | 0.2748 | 0.2328 | 71.5 |
| 6 | Solomon Hill | 0.0903 | 0.0496 | 70.0 |
STL/MIN
Everybody Missed for STL/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray | 0.0472 |
0.0626
(29.3)
|
0.0653
(34.0)
|
| Mikal Bridges | 0.0324 |
0.0512
(40.0)
|
0.0537
(44.7)
|
| Paul George | 0.0340 |
0.0526
(30.6)
|
0.0532
(30.7)
|
| Dennis Schröder | 0.0358 |
0.0257
(23.1)
|
0.0261
(23.3)
|
| James Harden | 0.0329 |
0.0509
(26.1)
|
0.0492
(22.5)
|
| Justin Holiday | 0.0339 |
0.0451
(20.7)
|
0.0460
(21.6)
|
| Kevin Huerter | 0.0386 |
0.0305
(20.7)
|
0.0297
(23.7)
|
| Eric Bledsoe | 0.0260 |
0.0435
(33.3)
|
0.0458
(37.0)
|
| T.J. McConnell | 0.0713 |
0.0462
(48.0)
|
0.0454
(50.5)
|
| Zach LaVine | 0.0226 |
0.0372
(26.1)
|
0.0405
(31.7)
|
| Jae'Sean Tate | 0.0416 |
0.0310
(25.1)
|
0.0310
(26.2)
|
| Domantas Sabonis | 0.0341 |
0.0237
(26.9)
|
0.0231
(29.6)
|
| Darius Garland | 0.0369 |
0.0243
(25.7)
|
0.0240
(27.0)
|
| Lonnie Walker IV | 0.0191 |
0.0342
(20.5)
|
0.0386
(26.3)
|
| Keldon Johnson | 0.0203 |
0.0425
(40.2)
|
0.0516
(57.1)
|
Individual Misses for STL/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyrese Haliburton | 0.0310 | 0.0441 | 25.8 |
| 2 | RJ Barrett | 0.0330 | 0.0211 | 25.6 |
| 3 | Coby White | 0.0307 | 0.0176 | 24.5 |
| 4 | Dillon Brooks | 0.0304 | 0.0391 | 20.7 |
| 5 | Russell Westbrook | 0.0479 | 0.0376 | 20.3 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donte DiVincenzo | 0.0585 | 0.0397 | 30.0 |
| 2 | Richaun Holmes | 0.0359 | 0.0219 | 20.9 |
| 3 | Terry Rozier | 0.0302 | 0.0365 | 20.5 |
| 4 | Jimmy Butler III | 0.0524 | 0.0619 | 20.5 |
| 5 | Danny Green | 0.0398 | 0.0476 | 19.3 |
BLK/MIN
Everybody Missed for BLK/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thaddeus Young | 0.0242 |
0.0148
(17.4)
|
0.0126
(21.7)
|
| Dejounte Murray | 0.0033 |
0.0122
(16.8)
|
0.0148
(21.3)
|
| Mikal Bridges | 0.0268 |
0.0206
(17.4)
|
0.0188
(22.5)
|
| Daniel Theis | 0.0356 |
0.0497
(20.7)
|
0.0554
(29.1)
|
| Luka Dončić | 0.0159 |
0.0094
(17.4)
|
0.0085
(20.3)
|
| Darius Bazley | 0.0146 |
0.0354
(33.8)
|
0.0366
(35.1)
|
| Clint Capela | 0.0680 |
0.0516
(33.2)
|
0.0553
(27.0)
|
| Jayson Tatum | 0.0135 |
0.0250
(23.7)
|
0.0282
(29.9)
|
| Brook Lopez | 0.0542 |
0.0787
(44.6)
|
0.0820
(49.9)
|
| Montrezl Harrell | 0.0310 |
0.0438
(18.4)
|
0.0459
(21.0)
|
| Fred VanVleet | 0.0195 |
0.0103
(19.6)
|
0.0090
(22.9)
|
| Rudy Gobert | 0.0869 |
0.0619
(57.0)
|
0.0662
(48.7)
|
| Saddiq Bey | 0.0073 |
0.0180
(18.1)
|
0.0333
(46.6)
|
| P.J. Washington | 0.0404 |
0.0249
(32.5)
|
0.0247
(33.8)
|
| Jaden McDaniels | 0.0397 |
0.0180
(34.6)
|
0.0180
(35.2)
|
| Tobias Harris | 0.0253 |
0.0151
(22.8)
|
0.0146
(24.7)
|
Individual Misses for BLK/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nerlens Noel | 0.0775 | 0.0912 | 22.8 |
| 2 | Theo Maledon | 0.0180 | 0.0062 | 18.9 |
| 3 | Julius Randle | 0.0149 | 0.0067 | 18.8 |
| 4 | Andrew Wiggins | 0.0238 | 0.0296 | 16.4 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isaac Okoro | 0.0259 | 0.0110 | 28.9 |
| 2 | Kyrie Irving | 0.0091 | 0.0196 | 22.7 |
| 3 | Nikola Vučević | 0.0315 | 0.0204 | 22.4 |
| 4 | Joel Embiid | 0.0587 | 0.0435 | 21.6 |
TOV/MIN
Everybody Missed for TOV/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thaddeus Young | 0.0829 |
0.0556
(49.9)
|
0.0541
(53.0)
|
| Jaylen Brown | 0.0791 |
0.0592
(45.3)
|
0.0640
(36.8)
|
| Joe Harris | 0.0290 |
0.0505
(40.2)
|
0.0488
(35.4)
|
| Paul George | 0.0983 |
0.0785
(41.2)
|
0.0800
(39.4)
|
| Nicolas Batum | 0.0289 |
0.0513
(35.9)
|
0.0517
(35.8)
|
| Darius Bazley | 0.0712 |
0.0404
(57.7)
|
0.0440
(52.3)
|
| Jayson Tatum | 0.0747 |
0.0589
(42.7)
|
0.0621
(36.5)
|
| Robert Covington | 0.0285 |
0.0474
(35.9)
|
0.0493
(39.1)
|
| Eric Bledsoe | 0.0540 |
0.0834
(56.1)
|
0.0844
(57.2)
|
| Jerami Grant | 0.0596 |
0.0314
(56.9)
|
0.0297
(60.8)
|
| Luguentz Dort | 0.0512 |
0.0315
(34.7)
|
0.0243
(46.6)
|
| Domantas Sabonis | 0.0955 |
0.0786
(44.1)
|
0.0807
(40.3)
|
| Theo Maledon | 0.0793 |
0.0596
(40.1)
|
0.0596
(41.0)
|
| Jaden McDaniels | 0.0311 |
0.0596
(38.7)
|
0.0596
(38.0)
|
| Ricky Rubio | 0.0627 |
0.0881
(40.0)
|
0.0894
(41.4)
|
| Devonte' Graham | 0.0506 |
0.0747
(35.1)
|
0.0806
(44.2)
|
Individual Misses for TOV/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saddiq Bey | 0.0596 | 0.0314 | 48.3 |
| 2 | Isaac Okoro | 0.0596 | 0.0396 | 37.3 |
| 3 | Stephen Curry | 0.0855 | 0.0990 | 35.2 |
| 4 | Draymond Green | 0.0812 | 0.0949 | 32.8 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyrese Haliburton | 0.0871 | 0.0527 | 54.3 |
| 2 | Devin Booker | 0.1120 | 0.0912 | 39.9 |
| 3 | Dejounte Murray | 0.0761 | 0.0547 | 38.8 |
| 4 | Coby White | 0.0602 | 0.0724 | 33.4 |
3PM/MIN
Everybody Missed for 3PM/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young | 0.0640 |
0.0844
(53.0)
|
0.0934
(62.7)
|
| Jordan Clarkson | 0.1144 |
0.0761
(61.3)
|
0.0741
(73.1)
|
| Nikola Vučević | 0.0750 |
0.0425
(65.3)
|
0.0407
(80.1)
|
| Kyle Anderson | 0.0498 |
0.0165
(54.2)
|
0.0129
(69.4)
|
| James Harden | 0.0752 |
0.1189
(77.7)
|
0.1109
(57.6)
|
| Jae'Sean Tate | 0.0294 |
0.0571
(66.1)
|
0.0571
(57.0)
|
| Saddiq Bey | 0.0917 |
0.0571
(57.2)
|
0.0395
(99.4)
|
| Julius Randle | 0.0600 |
0.0288
(70.9)
|
0.0288
(82.9)
|
| Malcolm Brogdon | 0.0751 |
0.0484
(42.7)
|
0.0436
(60.7)
|
Individual Misses for 3PM/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isaac Okoro | 0.0571 | 0.0285 | 72.1 |
| 2 | Patrick Williams | 0.0571 | 0.0272 | 68.4 |
| 3 | Thaddeus Young | 0.0352 | 0.0073 | 53.7 |
| 4 | Dennis Schröder | 0.0568 | 0.0363 | 49.1 |
| 5 | Lonzo Ball | 0.0668 | 0.0984 | 47.3 |
| 6 | Joe Ingles | 0.0682 | 0.0980 | 47.0 |
| 7 | CJ McCollum | 0.0718 | 0.1056 | 46.8 |
| 8 | Stephen Curry | 0.1316 | 0.1566 | 44.0 |
| 9 | Luguentz Dort | 0.0401 | 0.0732 | 44.0 |
| 10 | Keldon Johnson | 0.0476 | 0.0305 | 42.7 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rudy Gobert | 0.0571 | 0.0000 | 125.2 |
| 2 | Deandre Ayton | 0.0571 | 0.0019 | 117.1 |
| 3 | Clint Capela | 0.0571 | 0.0000 | 108.7 |
| 4 | Jakob Poeltl | 0.0571 | 0.0000 | 105.7 |
| 5 | Richaun Holmes | 0.0571 | 0.0011 | 100.0 |
| 6 | Steven Adams | 0.0571 | 0.0000 | 91.9 |
| 7 | Ivica Zubac | 0.0571 | 0.0006 | 91.1 |
| 8 | Nerlens Noel | 0.0571 | 0.0000 | 88.6 |
| 9 | Khem Birch | 0.0571 | 0.0085 | 74.6 |
| 10 | Anthony Edwards | 0.0466 | 0.0739 | 62.8 |
FG%
Everybody Missed for FG%
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thaddeus Young | 0.5589 |
0.4758
(134.4)
|
0.4825
(120.3)
|
| Ja Morant | 0.4493 |
0.4901
(87.4)
|
0.4882
(87.2)
|
| Mikal Bridges | 0.5426 |
0.4858
(129.0)
|
0.4864
(123.6)
|
| Isaac Okoro | 0.4204 |
0.4764
(125.7)
|
0.4664
(107.6)
|
| Cedi Osman | 0.3737 |
0.4407
(104.0)
|
0.4379
(102.3)
|
| Brook Lopez | 0.5031 |
0.4411
(114.5)
|
0.4436
(106.4)
|
| Eric Bledsoe | 0.4205 |
0.4740
(116.7)
|
0.4814
(136.0)
|
| Jerami Grant | 0.4292 |
0.4907
(115.8)
|
0.4876
(113.5)
|
| Zach LaVine | 0.5067 |
0.4587
(93.9)
|
0.4507
(106.6)
|
| Theo Maledon | 0.3681 |
0.4764
(195.8)
|
0.4764
(198.9)
|
| Deandre Ayton | 0.6259 |
0.5687
(117.1)
|
0.5762
(97.5)
|
| Harrison Barnes | 0.4969 |
0.4455
(104.3)
|
0.4424
(107.0)
|
| Saddiq Bey | 0.4038 |
0.4764
(142.2)
|
0.4484
(92.0)
|
| Buddy Hield | 0.4062 |
0.4402
(87.1)
|
0.4372
(84.0)
|
| Miles Bridges | 0.5032 |
0.4465
(106.0)
|
0.4388
(117.6)
|
| Ivica Zubac | 0.6523 |
0.5892
(98.6)
|
0.5923
(90.7)
|
| Nikola Jokić | 0.5661 |
0.5230
(102.8)
|
0.5190
(108.3)
|
Individual Misses for FG%
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keldon Johnson | 0.5560 | 0.4794 | 154.2 |
| 2 | Anthony Edwards | 0.4764 | 0.4170 | 141.7 |
| 3 | Julius Randle | 0.4921 | 0.4557 | 101.9 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clint Capela | 0.6409 | 0.5942 | 95.4 |
| 2 | Michael Porter Jr. | 0.4902 | 0.5422 | 92.7 |
| 3 | Jalen Brunson | 0.4675 | 0.5231 | 88.3 |
FT%
Everybody Missed for FT%
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson | 0.8267 |
0.8923
(178.0)
|
0.8846
(160.2)
|
| Russell Westbrook | 0.6562 |
0.7242
(192.2)
|
0.7520
(257.6)
|
| Daniel Theis | 0.6727 |
0.7544
(151.6)
|
0.7527
(148.6)
|
| Steven Adams | 0.4444 |
0.5590
(204.7)
|
0.5504
(190.7)
|
| Kyle Anderson | 0.7826 |
0.6706
(186.7)
|
0.6468
(232.0)
|
| Lonzo Ball | 0.7812 |
0.5556
(371.5)
|
0.5376
(403.1)
|
| Eric Bledsoe | 0.6872 |
0.7744
(211.7)
|
0.7890
(242.2)
|
| Jerami Grant | 0.8455 |
0.7308
(185.9)
|
0.7148
(215.4)
|
| T.J. McConnell | 0.6875 |
0.8043
(233.4)
|
0.8182
(257.9)
|
| Jae'Sean Tate | 0.6939 |
0.7974
(238.1)
|
0.7974
(237.8)
|
| Julius Randle | 0.8112 |
0.7355
(167.1)
|
0.7264
(191.7)
|
| Dwayne Bacon | 0.8239 |
0.7027
(200.3)
|
0.6921
(220.2)
|
| Jaden McDaniels | 0.6000 |
0.7974
(317.9)
|
0.7974
(317.7)
|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 0.6949 |
0.7864
(176.4)
|
0.7806
(166.4)
|
| Coby White | 0.9014 |
0.8000
(190.4)
|
0.8085
(172.6)
|
Individual Misses for FT%
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RJ Barrett | 0.6409 | 0.7464 | 232.0 |
| 2 | Isaac Okoro | 0.7974 | 0.7261 | 183.3 |
| 3 | Patrick Williams | 0.7974 | 0.7280 | 163.5 |
| 4 | Bam Adebayo | 0.7128 | 0.7994 | 157.5 |
| 5 | Keldon Johnson | 0.8020 | 0.7398 | 148.1 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royce O'Neale | 0.7576 | 0.8478 | 173.3 |
| 2 | Jeff Green | 0.8526 | 0.7764 | 163.5 |
| 3 | Ja Morant | 0.7933 | 0.7285 | 159.5 |
| 4 | Joe Ingles | 0.7466 | 0.8444 | 158.5 |
| 5 | Terry Rozier | 0.8657 | 0.8168 | 147.2 |