2020-21 Projection Accuracy

Summary

System MIN G PTS/MIN OREB/MIN DREB/MIN REB/MIN STL/MIN AST/MIN BLK/MIN FTA/MIN FGA/MIN 3PA/MIN TOV/MIN FT% FG% 3P% 3PA/FGA MIN/G
SPS
ESPN

Playing Time

Minutes

Everybody Missed for Minutes

Player Actual SPS ESPN
T.J. Warren 117
1837
(1719.8)
2246
(2129.0)
Glenn Robinson III 369
1554
(1184.9)
1593
(1224.1)
Jae'Sean Tate 2043
500
(1542.7)
500
(1542.7)
Theo Maledon 1778
500
(1277.7)
500
(1277.7)
Langston Galloway 438
1616
(1178.2)
1710
(1271.8)
Markelle Fultz 215
1690
(1474.7)
1997
(1781.9)
Jaren Jackson Jr. 258
1619
(1360.3)
1717
(1458.4)
Terrance Ferguson 49
1464
(1415.2)
1476
(1426.2)
Spencer Dinwiddie 64
1788
(1724.2)
1762
(1697.2)

Individual Misses for Minutes

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Edwards 500 2314 1814.2
2 Isaac Okoro 500 2173 1673.2
3 Patrick Williams 500 1983 1483.4
4 Saddiq Bey 500 1909 1409.0
5 Kris Dunn 1382 45 1336.1
6 Stephen Curry 889 2152 1262.3
7 Marquese Chriss 1278 27 1251.2
8 Tyrese Haliburton 500 1746 1245.7
9 Hassan Whiteside 1750 546 1204.3
10 Keldon Johnson 777 1968 1190.5

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Knox II 1903 464 1438.4
2 Thomas Bryant 1682 271 1410.7
3 Obi Toppin 2064 683 1380.5
4 Jalen Smith 1439 156 1283.1
5 Jarrett Culver 1762 499 1263.1
6 Dewayne Dedmon 1458 210 1247.4
7 Patrick McCaw 1279 33 1245.5
8 De'Andre Hunter 1923 678 1245.1
9 Troy Brown Jr. 1741 523 1217.4
10 Al Horford 1996 782 1213.7

Games

Everybody Missed for Games

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Facundo Campazzo 65
0
(65.0)
0
(65.0)
Payton Pritchard 66
0
(66.0)
0
(66.0)
Jae'Sean Tate 70
0
(70.0)
0
(70.0)
Theo Maledon 65
0
(65.0)
0
(65.0)
Desmond Bane 68
0
(68.0)
0
(68.0)
Immanuel Quickley 64
0
(64.0)
0
(64.0)
Jaden McDaniels 63
0
(63.0)
0
(63.0)

Individual Misses for Games

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Edwards 0 72 72.0
2 T.J. Leaf 79 7 72.0
3 Patrick Williams 0 71 71.0
4 Saddiq Bey 0 70 70.0
5 Isaiah Stewart 0 68 68.0
6 Thon Maker 76 8 68.0
7 Isaac Okoro 0 67 67.0
8 Marquese Chriss 68 2 66.0
9 Chris Silva 79 15 64.0
10 Meyers Leonard 67 3 64.0

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Terance Mann 0 67 67.0
2 Talen Horton-Tucker 0 65 65.0
3 Garrison Mathews 0 64 64.0
4 Jarred Vanderbilt 0 64 64.0
5 Dean Wade 0 63 63.0
6 Spencer Dinwiddie 65 3 62.0
7 Isaiah Roby 0 61 61.0
8 Precious Achiuwa 0 61 61.0
9 Tyrese Maxey 0 61 61.0
10 Cameron Payne 0 60 60.0

Rate Stats

PTS/MIN

Everybody Missed for PTS/MIN

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Jaylen Brown 0.7155
0.5615
(325.1)
0.5761
(312.9)
Facundo Campazzo 0.2779
0.4643
(253.2)
0.4643
(241.1)
Kyle Anderson 0.4525
0.3001
(304.1)
0.2928
(333.8)
James Harden 0.6732
0.9228
(387.6)
0.8770
(300.3)
Terry Rozier 0.5903
0.4838
(274.5)
0.4970
(263.3)
Eric Bledsoe 0.4116
0.5446
(262.6)
0.5584
(273.8)
Robert Covington 0.2644
0.4034
(292.1)
0.4579
(395.5)
Jerami Grant 0.6587
0.4395
(417.0)
0.4655
(384.9)
Anthony Edwards 0.6015
0.4643
(337.7)
0.4871
(304.5)
Buddy Hield 0.4834
0.6172
(304.5)
0.6137
(275.3)
Jaden McDaniels 0.2826
0.4643
(261.3)
0.4643
(248.5)
Stephen Curry 0.9365
0.7659
(386.0)
0.8172
(293.6)
Nerlens Noel 0.2095
0.3909
(267.1)
0.3903
(253.2)

Individual Misses for PTS/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Durant 0.4643 0.8152 416.0
2 Nikola Jokić 0.6238 0.7629 367.7
3 Isaac Okoro 0.4643 0.2973 344.1
4 Jayson Tatum 0.6121 0.7390 310.5
5 Bradley Beal 0.7542 0.8747 277.5
6 De'Aaron Fox 0.5964 0.7175 264.3
7 Bam Adebayo 0.4512 0.5587 248.8

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Deandre Ayton 0.6549 0.4715 351.6
2 Mikal Bridges 0.3105 0.4132 281.3
3 Russell Westbrook 0.7348 0.6100 255.0
4 Collin Sexton 0.5885 0.6903 251.5
5 Blake Griffin 0.6547 0.4256 251.5
6 Saddiq Bey 0.3435 0.4489 234.0
7 Kenrich Williams 0.2236 0.3688 231.5

OREB/MIN

Individual Misses for OREB/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Moses Brown 0.0517 0.1674 108.4
2 Julius Randle 0.0726 0.0315 103.9
3 Isaiah Stewart 0.0407 0.1093 102.8
4 Jonas Valanciunas 0.1070 0.1441 69.0
5 Thaddeus Young 0.0654 0.1017 63.4
6 Clint Capela 0.1262 0.1564 61.3
7 Bruce Brown 0.0371 0.0765 60.2
8 Royce O'Neale 0.0151 0.0393 59.0
9 John Collins 0.0974 0.0638 58.0
10 Brook Lopez 0.0268 0.0547 57.0

DREB/MIN

Individual Misses for DREB/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Isaac Okoro 0.1428 0.0635 166.8
2 Russell Westbrook 0.2055 0.2706 160.2
3 Rudy Gobert 0.2810 0.3293 111.0
4 Tyrese Haliburton 0.1428 0.0768 110.9
5 DeMarcus Cousins 0.1428 0.2946 110.0
6 Clint Capela 0.2640 0.3192 109.5
7 Isaiah Stewart 0.1428 0.2021 89.9
8 DeAndre Jordan 0.3235 0.2488 89.9
9 Dwight Howard 0.2538 0.3262 89.6
10 Facundo Campazzo 0.1428 0.0786 87.9

REB/MIN

Everybody Missed for REB/MIN

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Russell Westbrook 0.3166
0.2517
(164.6)
0.2435
(179.6)
Tyrese Haliburton 0.0991
0.1835
(139.3)
0.1705
(119.9)
Jarred Vanderbilt 0.3230
0.2144
(129.0)
0.1835
(162.1)
Isaac Okoro 0.0948
0.1835
(182.7)
0.1786
(176.1)
Facundo Campazzo 0.0940
0.1835
(120.9)
0.1835
(123.6)
Clint Capela 0.4757
0.3903
(170.8)
0.3084
(322.6)
Bruce Brown 0.2405
0.1597
(123.9)
0.1615
(118.6)
Dwight Howard 0.4851
0.3686
(144.8)
0.3879
(119.5)
Isaiah Stewart 0.3114
0.1835
(192.8)
0.2339
(116.7)
Theo Maledon 0.1187
0.1835
(107.0)
0.1835
(110.3)
Rudy Gobert 0.4390
0.3836
(131.3)
0.3932
(106.1)
Moses Brown 0.4162
0.2318
(174.0)
0.1835
(216.7)
Josh Hart 0.2794
0.2091
(101.0)
0.1986
(112.7)
DeAndre Jordan 0.3427
0.4341
(108.2)
0.4567
(138.6)
Giannis Antetokounmpo 0.3334
0.3956
(115.9)
0.3904
(109.3)

Individual Misses for REB/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DeMarcus Cousins 0.1835 0.3689 135.5
2 Bobby Portis Jr. 0.2667 0.3396 106.4
3 John Wall 0.1835 0.1001 101.4
4 Thaddeus Young 0.1994 0.2560 101.1
5 John Collins 0.3107 0.2527 98.8

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jerami Grant 0.2077 0.1367 125.0
2 Tony Bradley 0.1835 0.3494 115.4
3 LaMelo Ball 0.1338 0.2056 109.5
4 Cole Anthony 0.0913 0.1736 108.3
5 Carmelo Anthony 0.1914 0.1266 104.9

STL/MIN

Everybody Missed for STL/MIN

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Dejounte Murray 0.0472
0.0626
(30.9)
0.0653
(36.6)
LaMelo Ball 0.0552
0.0314
(36.4)
0.0370
(28.2)
Mikal Bridges 0.0324
0.0512
(41.8)
0.0537
(47.6)
Paul George 0.0340
0.0526
(31.9)
0.0532
(33.0)
Facundo Campazzo 0.0554
0.0314
(35.7)
0.0314
(35.8)
James Harden 0.0329
0.0509
(27.3)
0.0492
(24.5)
Brandon Clarke 0.0424
0.0259
(24.7)
0.0242
(27.2)
Eric Bledsoe 0.0260
0.0435
(34.9)
0.0458
(39.6)
T.J. McConnell 0.0713
0.0462
(46.7)
0.0454
(48.3)
Zach LaVine 0.0226
0.0372
(27.7)
0.0405
(34.2)
Domantas Sabonis 0.0341
0.0237
(25.2)
0.0231
(26.8)
Grayson Allen 0.0365
0.0168
(26.1)
0.0109
(33.6)
Raul Neto 0.0520
0.0337
(27.0)
0.0337
(27.2)
Darius Garland 0.0369
0.0243
(24.3)
0.0240
(24.8)
Keldon Johnson 0.0203
0.0425
(41.6)
0.0516
(59.6)

Individual Misses for STL/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 RJ Barrett 0.0330 0.0211 27.5
2 Coby White 0.0307 0.0176 26.1
3 Tyrese Haliburton 0.0314 0.0441 23.9
4 Mike Conley 0.0322 0.0467 23.2
5 Jae'Sean Tate 0.0314 0.0416 22.9

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Donte DiVincenzo 0.0585 0.0397 32.3
2 Jarred Vanderbilt 0.0314 0.0562 29.4
3 Lonnie Walker IV 0.0386 0.0191 28.1
4 Nickeil Alexander-Walker 0.0235 0.0467 24.3
5 Justin Holiday 0.0460 0.0339 24.3

AST/MIN

Everybody Missed for AST/MIN

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Devin Booker 0.1273
0.1809
(121.7)
0.1791
(117.9)
Thaddeus Young 0.1761
0.0753
(166.4)
0.0746
(167.6)
Draymond Green 0.2816
0.2115
(138.8)
0.2189
(123.9)
Russell Westbrook 0.3221
0.2340
(208.6)
0.2525
(164.7)
Jimmy Butler III 0.2115
0.1520
(103.7)
0.1511
(105.2)
James Harden 0.2952
0.2045
(145.8)
0.2079
(140.3)
Eric Bledsoe 0.1269
0.1852
(123.2)
0.1867
(126.4)
Chris Paul 0.2828
0.2191
(140.0)
0.2285
(119.1)
Saben Lee 0.2229
0.1027
(93.8)
0.1027
(93.7)
Domantas Sabonis 0.1860
0.1313
(121.9)
0.1383
(106.0)
Julius Randle 0.1601
0.0987
(163.6)
0.0969
(168.3)
Darius Garland 0.1838
0.1270
(101.5)
0.1261
(103.0)
Elfrid Payton 0.1368
0.2434
(158.3)
0.2494
(167.4)
Coby White 0.1521
0.1075
(96.1)
0.1047
(102.0)

Individual Misses for AST/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 LaMelo Ball 0.1027 0.2131 162.0
2 John Wall 0.1027 0.2135 142.6
3 Tyrese Haliburton 0.1027 0.1770 129.5
4 Patrick Williams 0.1027 0.0499 104.9
5 Saddiq Bey 0.1027 0.0498 101.2
6 Isaac Okoro 0.1027 0.0589 95.4

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Khris Middleton 0.1119 0.1631 115.9
2 Cameron Payne 0.1027 0.2010 106.0
3 Bruce Brown 0.1319 0.0717 87.6
4 Nicolas Batum 0.1278 0.0807 86.8
5 Facundo Campazzo 0.1027 0.1628 85.4
6 Kevin Porter Jr. 0.0940 0.1963 85.4

BLK/MIN

Everybody Missed for BLK/MIN

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Marc Gasol 0.0584
0.0339
(24.6)
0.0345
(24.6)
Darius Bazley 0.0146
0.0354
(35.2)
0.0366
(36.2)
Mitchell Robinson 0.0528
0.0922
(33.4)
0.0990
(38.6)
Jayson Tatum 0.0135
0.0250
(25.6)
0.0282
(31.4)
Kristaps Porziņģis 0.0437
0.0623
(24.2)
0.0677
(30.6)
Brook Lopez 0.0542
0.0787
(46.2)
0.0820
(51.2)
Myles Turner 0.1093
0.0769
(47.5)
0.0774
(47.6)
Clint Capela 0.0680
0.0516
(31.6)
0.0553
(25.8)
Rudy Gobert 0.0869
0.0619
(55.2)
0.0662
(47.3)
Saddiq Bey 0.0073
0.0202
(24.0)
0.0333
(47.9)
P.J. Washington 0.0404
0.0249
(30.9)
0.0247
(32.6)
Moses Brown 0.0511
0.0219
(27.1)
0.0202
(29.3)
Jaden McDaniels 0.0397
0.0202
(30.0)
0.0202
(30.9)
Taj Gibson 0.0524
0.0248
(26.1)
0.0231
(28.3)
Maxi Kleber 0.0261
0.0439
(23.5)
0.0487
(29.1)

Individual Misses for BLK/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Isaiah Stewart 0.0202 0.0591 57.1
2 Matisse Thybulle 0.0353 0.0547 25.5
3 Theo Maledon 0.0202 0.0062 24.3
4 Goga Bitadze 0.0647 0.1069 23.9
5 Jarred Vanderbilt 0.0199 0.0404 23.7

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Eubanks 0.0202 0.0649 34.5
2 Isaac Okoro 0.0259 0.0110 30.3
3 Daniel Theis 0.0554 0.0356 30.1
4 Isaiah Hartenstein 0.0202 0.0698 28.2
5 Anthony Davis 0.0729 0.0508 24.6

FTA/MIN

Everybody Missed for FTA/MIN

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Hamidou Diallo 0.1631
0.0821
(107.8)
0.0800
(114.5)
Collin Sexton 0.1811
0.1156
(153.1)
0.1159
(159.5)
James Harden 0.2008
0.3016
(151.1)
0.2803
(111.5)
Kyle Kuzma 0.0496
0.1023
(89.4)
0.1016
(81.4)
Blake Griffin 0.0986
0.1910
(101.4)
0.1958
(103.1)
Jerami Grant 0.1875
0.1001
(172.5)
0.1128
(155.6)
Norman Powell 0.1229
0.0895
(88.7)
0.0837
(109.2)
Stephen Curry 0.1836
0.1338
(121.9)
0.1550
(83.6)
Lou Williams 0.1216
0.1947
(94.3)
0.2034
(101.8)
Joel Embiid 0.3457
0.2795
(115.8)
0.2840
(114.2)

Individual Misses for FTA/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Durant 0.0904 0.2057 141.4
2 John Wall 0.0904 0.1638 103.4
3 Tyrese Haliburton 0.0904 0.0321 89.8
4 Bradley Beal 0.1799 0.2138 87.6
5 Darius Bazley 0.0610 0.1038 85.3
6 Ja Morant 0.1468 0.1812 84.8
7 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 0.1295 0.1941 84.4
8 Trae Young 0.2246 0.2570 83.4
9 Donovan Mitchell 0.1386 0.1784 82.8
10 Nikola Jokić 0.1322 0.1584 82.2

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Booker 0.2437 0.1727 137.8
2 Luka Dončić 0.2725 0.2082 122.1
3 Brandon Ingram 0.2193 0.1529 117.3
4 Isaiah Stewart 0.1422 0.0632 99.9
5 Deni Avdija 0.1255 0.0358 99.7
6 Kyle Anderson 0.0577 0.0975 94.5
7 Deandre Ayton 0.1368 0.0818 94.5
8 Shake Milton 0.0743 0.1205 82.5
9 Anthony Edwards 0.1635 0.1175 82.5
10 DeMar DeRozan 0.1860 0.2140 78.6

FGA/MIN

Everybody Missed for FGA/MIN

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Dejounte Murray 0.4553
0.3723
(189.8)
0.3636
(222.2)
Jaylen Brown 0.5559
0.4325
(258.1)
0.4419
(252.3)
Nikola Vučević 0.5945
0.5165
(196.6)
0.5237
(195.1)
Facundo Campazzo 0.2211
0.3662
(198.7)
0.3662
(189.4)
Kyle Anderson 0.3486
0.2441
(208.2)
0.2404
(227.4)
James Harden 0.4562
0.6150
(246.3)
0.5954
(204.2)
Robert Covington 0.2270
0.3323
(223.4)
0.3673
(287.3)
Jerami Grant 0.5095
0.3251
(347.8)
0.3442
(324.7)
Anthony Edwards 0.5233
0.3662
(376.7)
0.3750
(371.5)
Luguentz Dort 0.4141
0.2819
(212.8)
0.3127
(175.3)
Deandre Ayton 0.3249
0.4278
(205.6)
0.4772
(296.2)
De'Aaron Fox 0.5451
0.4568
(191.5)
0.4694
(179.2)
Buddy Hield 0.4078
0.5113
(238.0)
0.5121
(224.1)
Stephen Curry 0.6344
0.5499
(194.1)
0.5532
(201.1)

Individual Misses for FGA/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 John Wall 0.3662 0.5636 261.6
2 Jayson Tatum 0.4771 0.5756 238.7
3 Isaac Okoro 0.3662 0.2572 224.5
4 Darius Bazley 0.2900 0.4025 202.6
5 Patrick Williams 0.3662 0.2662 187.0
6 Kevin Durant 0.3662 0.5213 186.0

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gary Trent Jr. 0.3402 0.4356 194.1
2 Russell Westbrook 0.6142 0.5226 188.1
3 Juan Toscano-Anderson 0.3662 0.1887 183.0
4 Dennis Schröder 0.4934 0.3885 181.3
5 Saddiq Bey 0.2822 0.3620 175.7
6 Shake Milton 0.3486 0.4566 175.7

3PA/MIN

Everybody Missed for 3PA/MIN

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Thaddeus Young 0.0272
0.1013
(132.8)
0.0954
(125.9)
Trae Young 0.1869
0.2333
(112.1)
0.2578
(167.7)
Jordan Clarkson 0.3296
0.2157
(195.4)
0.2103
(202.2)
Jarred Vanderbilt 0.0044
0.0980
(113.9)
0.1435
(167.6)
Nikola Vučević 0.1874
0.1249
(131.8)
0.1199
(139.8)
Kyle Anderson 0.1383
0.0546
(146.1)
0.0481
(155.2)
James Harden 0.2076
0.3334
(212.6)
0.3092
(176.4)
Robert Covington 0.1587
0.2127
(135.2)
0.2377
(194.9)
Anthony Edwards 0.2247
0.1435
(173.3)
0.0466
(393.6)
Saddiq Bey 0.2410
0.1435
(174.0)
0.0395
(369.4)
Moses Brown 0.0000
0.1174
(113.9)
0.1435
(139.4)
Derrick White 0.2285
0.1141
(114.9)
0.1031
(124.9)
Isaac Okoro 0.0985
0.1435
(111.6)
0.0344
(122.0)

Individual Misses for 3PA/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Williams 0.1435 0.0696 159.1
2 Isaiah Stewart 0.1435 0.0433 154.9
3 Lonzo Ball 0.1803 0.2604 128.9
4 Luguentz Dort 0.1252 0.2132 126.0
5 Fred VanVleet 0.1817 0.2507 119.1
6 Immanuel Quickley 0.1435 0.2437 116.7
7 Julius Randle 0.0960 0.1459 116.0

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyrese Haliburton 0.0628 0.1696 172.4
2 Tobias Harris 0.1787 0.1033 168.0
3 LaMelo Ball 0.0699 0.1777 146.6
4 Aleksej Pokusevski 0.0640 0.1899 128.6
5 Bradley Beal 0.2254 0.1737 128.2
6 Lonnie Walker IV 0.0934 0.1853 127.7
7 Khris Middleton 0.2085 0.1609 126.0

TOV/MIN

Everybody Missed for TOV/MIN

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Thaddeus Young 0.0829
0.0556
(49.4)
0.0541
(53.3)
Paul George 0.0983
0.0785
(40.6)
0.0800
(39.7)
Darius Bazley 0.0712
0.0404
(57.1)
0.0440
(52.6)
Blake Griffin 0.0522
0.0887
(40.2)
0.0904
(41.1)
Eric Bledsoe 0.0540
0.0834
(56.8)
0.0844
(56.9)
Jerami Grant 0.0596
0.0314
(56.3)
0.0297
(61.1)
Domantas Sabonis 0.0955
0.0786
(43.4)
0.0807
(40.7)
Theo Maledon 0.0793
0.0548
(48.1)
0.0548
(49.8)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 0.0899
0.0569
(41.9)
0.0541
(46.3)
Ricky Rubio 0.0627
0.0881
(40.6)
0.0894
(41.1)
Raul Neto 0.0378
0.0695
(41.0)
0.0750
(47.4)

Individual Misses for TOV/MIN

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 John Wall 0.0548 0.1095 73.7
2 LaMelo Ball 0.0548 0.0987 68.3
3 Kevin Durant 0.0548 0.1037 59.6
4 Killian Hayes 0.0548 0.1238 48.0
5 Jaylen Brown 0.0592 0.0791 44.7
6 Aleksej Pokusevski 0.0548 0.0908 42.1
7 Jayson Tatum 0.0589 0.0747 41.9
8 Joe Harris 0.0505 0.0290 40.8
9 Saddiq Bey 0.0548 0.0314 39.7

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kira Lewis Jr. 0.1087 0.0376 61.2
2 Tyrese Haliburton 0.0871 0.0527 54.0
3 Luguentz Dort 0.0243 0.0512 46.8
4 Devonte' Graham 0.0806 0.0506 43.9
5 Garrison Mathews 0.0548 0.0096 43.3
6 Deni Avdija 0.0630 0.0263 41.8
7 Kenrich Williams 0.0275 0.0533 41.8
8 Isaiah Roby 0.0548 0.0793 39.9
9 Devin Booker 0.1120 0.0912 39.5

FT%

Everybody Missed for FT%

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Marvin Bagley III 0.5746
0.7313
(177.7)
0.7531
(202.3)
Jarred Vanderbilt 0.5588
0.7705
(244.7)
0.7749
(250.1)
Kyle Anderson 0.7826
0.6706
(205.6)
0.6468
(249.8)
Precious Achiuwa 0.5091
0.7749
(198.2)
0.7749
(198.5)
Rajon Rondo 0.9412
0.6596
(214.3)
0.6360
(232.1)
Lonzo Ball 0.7812
0.5556
(388.9)
0.5376
(419.6)
Eric Bledsoe 0.6872
0.7744
(190.6)
0.7890
(222.3)
Jerami Grant 0.8455
0.7308
(204.2)
0.7148
(232.6)
T.J. McConnell 0.6875
0.8043
(215.4)
0.8182
(241.0)
Matisse Thybulle 0.4444
0.6600
(283.8)
0.6380
(255.8)
Julius Randle 0.8112
0.7355
(193.7)
0.7264
(216.9)
Dwayne Bacon 0.8239
0.7027
(218.8)
0.6921
(237.7)
Jaden McDaniels 0.6000
0.7749
(268.9)
0.7749
(269.4)
DeAndre Jordan 0.5000
0.6730
(219.4)
0.6727
(219.5)
Bismack Biyombo 0.4476
0.6299
(250.0)
0.6166
(232.6)
Coby White 0.9014
0.8000
(212.0)
0.8085
(192.9)

Individual Misses for FT%

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 RJ Barrett 0.6409 0.7464 257.1
2 Steven Adams 0.5590 0.4444 188.7
3 Bam Adebayo 0.7128 0.7994 178.9
4 Jevon Carter 0.8163 0.5714 177.7

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Russell Westbrook 0.7520 0.6562 235.2
2 Denzel Valentine 0.7422 0.9412 202.5
3 Mason Plumlee 0.5305 0.6686 201.8
4 Royce O'Neale 0.7576 0.8478 194.4

FG%

Everybody Missed for FG%

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Thaddeus Young 0.5589
0.4758
(139.8)
0.4825
(126.5)
Kenrich Williams 0.5328
0.3843
(213.9)
0.3967
(194.4)
Mikal Bridges 0.5426
0.4858
(136.7)
0.4864
(132.3)
Juan Toscano-Anderson 0.5789
0.4615
(131.7)
0.4677
(123.3)
Facundo Campazzo 0.3810
0.4677
(121.5)
0.4677
(123.4)
Brandon Clarke 0.5172
0.6085
(127.1)
0.6093
(130.2)
Bruce Brown 0.5556
0.4426
(166.1)
0.4387
(169.8)
Theo Maledon 0.3681
0.4677
(174.5)
0.4677
(176.9)
Robin Lopez 0.6329
0.5197
(155.3)
0.5357
(131.8)
Jarred Vanderbilt 0.6059
0.4928
(130.6)
0.4677
(157.6)
Aleksej Pokusevski 0.3407
0.4677
(136.8)
0.4463
(115.0)
DeAndre Jordan 0.7631
0.6303
(167.3)
0.6529
(137.4)
Miles Bridges 0.5032
0.4465
(112.4)
0.4388
(124.8)

Individual Misses for FG%

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Keldon Johnson 0.5560 0.4794 147.7
2 Isaiah Stewart 0.4677 0.5526 125.6
3 Deandre Ayton 0.5687 0.6259 124.1
4 Brook Lopez 0.4411 0.5031 120.8
5 Naz Reid 0.4353 0.5232 120.4
6 Saddiq Bey 0.4677 0.4038 119.3
7 Anthony Edwards 0.4677 0.4170 113.9

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daniel Gafford 0.5044 0.6844 142.6
2 Andre Iguodala 0.4853 0.3831 136.7
3 Tony Bradley 0.4677 0.6650 135.0
4 Dwight Howard 0.6981 0.5875 132.1
5 Eric Bledsoe 0.4814 0.4205 128.2
6 Nikola Jokić 0.5190 0.5661 117.5
7 Harrison Barnes 0.4424 0.4969 114.8

3P%

Everybody Missed for 3P%

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Drew Eubanks 1.0000
0.4054
(462.4)
0.3347
(521.9)
Tristan Thompson 0.0000
0.3704
(453.8)
0.4310
(521.6)

Individual Misses for 3P%

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rudy Gobert 0.3636 0.0000 756.5
2 Clint Capela 0.3636 0.0000 656.8
3 Jakob Poeltl 0.3571 0.0000 626.4
4 Nerlens Noel 0.3529 0.0000 518.5
5 Steven Adams 0.3077 0.0000 465.4
6 DeAndre Jordan 0.3636 0.0000 431.1
7 Bismack Biyombo 0.3333 0.0000 425.8
8 Mason Plumlee 0.2778 0.0000 389.8
9 Julius Randle 0.3000 0.4113 343.9
10 Robert Williams III 0.3571 0.0000 334.5

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Edwards 1.0000 0.3288 1493.8
2 Isaac Okoro 1.0000 0.2897 1487.8
3 Patrick Williams 1.0000 0.3913 1156.4
4 Saddiq Bey 1.0000 0.3804 1133.8
5 Tyrese Haliburton 1.0000 0.4088 987.3
6 Isaiah Stewart 1.0000 0.3333 932.6
7 LaMelo Ball 1.0000 0.3525 913.2
8 Deni Avdija 1.0000 0.3155 828.1
9 Cole Anthony 1.0000 0.3372 811.0
10 Aleksej Pokusevski 1.0000 0.2802 756.6

3PA/FGA

Everybody Missed for 3PA/FGA

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Thaddeus Young 0.0680
0.2837
(396.6)
0.2706
(394.8)
Kenrich Williams 0.2847
0.5686
(439.5)
0.6170
(525.8)
Andre Iguodala 0.7339
0.4554
(340.3)
0.4359
(350.3)
Jarred Vanderbilt 0.0212
0.3092
(355.8)
0.3959
(468.3)
Buddy Hield 0.7268
0.5359
(405.6)
0.5405
(364.7)
Facundo Campazzo 0.6857
0.3959
(378.4)
0.3959
(361.2)
Kyle Anderson 0.3967
0.2235
(281.0)
0.2000
(302.5)
Precious Achiuwa 0.0044
0.3959
(306.5)
0.3959
(315.4)
Chris Paul 0.2935
0.3948
(276.2)
0.4077
(331.1)
Saddiq Bey 0.6657
0.3959
(468.8)
0.1398
(934.5)
Shake Milton 0.3043
0.4696
(276.9)
0.4918
(327.0)
Moses Brown 0.0000
0.3304
(326.4)
0.3959
(397.8)
Dean Wade 0.6849
0.3713
(350.7)
0.3959
(306.2)

Individual Misses for 3PA/FGA

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Isaiah Stewart 0.3959 0.1540 387.2
2 Patrick Williams 0.3959 0.2614 314.9
3 Anfernee Simons 0.4183 0.7032 287.9
4 James Wiseman 0.3959 0.1033 264.9
5 Bradley Beal 0.3675 0.2699 261.7
6 Nicolas Batum 0.5000 0.6602 249.4
7 Eric Bledsoe 0.3439 0.4863 249.4

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Edwards 0.1243 0.4294 621.8
2 Isaac Okoro 0.1200 0.3828 492.1
3 Deni Avdija 0.1210 0.5385 479.0
4 Tyrese Haliburton 0.1859 0.4782 446.8
5 Garrison Mathews 0.3959 0.8354 418.5
6 Drew Eubanks 0.3959 0.0098 319.1
7 Tobias Harris 0.3464 0.2251 317.5

MIN/G

Everybody Missed for MIN/G

Player Actual SPS ESPN
Dejounte Murray 31.9316
24.9051
(14019.0)
27.5000
(12113.4)
Gary Trent Jr. 31.0687
20.5531
(18095.2)
24.4000
(14234.1)
Kelly Olynyk 28.5270
21.2358
(13613.7)
21.0000
(17487.7)
Terry Rozier 34.5421
28.8077
(12538.3)
29.7000
(14473.3)
Jakob Poeltl 26.7411
17.7147
(15780.8)
16.9000
(20428.4)
Julius Randle 37.5597
30.7295
(16950.9)
33.1000
(15174.0)
Dwayne Bacon 25.7331
17.7897
(13839.7)
18.8000
(15125.3)
Norman Powell 31.9635
23.8049
(16948.7)
25.1000
(17851.0)
Lonnie Walker IV 25.3641
15.8208
(13802.3)
18.2000
(12775.1)
Isaac Okoro 32.4363
25.6498
(13719.1)
26.9000
(14705.8)
Keldon Johnson 28.5186
19.4325
(16947.3)
15.5000
(28039.2)

Individual Misses for MIN/G

SPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Porter Jr. 17.1937 31.3484 26161.4
2 Darius Bazley 18.9625 31.1674 20109.5
3 Chris Boucher 12.7812 24.2113 15916.0
4 Christian Wood 20.3562 32.3390 15259.7
5 Anthony Edwards 25.6498 32.1412 13925.8
6 Royce O'Neale 24.8861 31.5561 13882.4
7 Malik Beasley 21.4742 32.8126 13190.3
8 Carmelo Anthony 31.3837 24.4948 12443.9
9 Domantas Sabonis 30.1063 35.9911 12074.3

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reggie Bullock Jr. 21.1000 29.9888 19725.1
2 Buddy Hield 28.9000 34.2656 16047.3
3 Dorian Finney-Smith 25.1000 32.0090 15632.1
4 Raul Neto 12.1000 21.9250 15513.0
5 Kyle Anderson 20.8000 27.3527 14689.4
6 T.J. McConnell 19.7000 26.0318 13583.3
7 Harrison Barnes 31.4000 36.2482 12779.6
8 Obi Toppin 30.8000 11.0174 12672.6
9 Josh Jackson 18.4000 25.1548 12453.8