2021-22 Fantasy Projection Accuracy
Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2021-22, excluding players with fewer than 1,500 minutes. Limited to minutes, games, minutes per game, and 9-cat rates.
Playing Time
Minutes
Everybody Missed for Minutes
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones | 2335 |
500
(1835.2)
|
500
(1835.2)
|
| Tyrese Maxey | 2650 |
1106
(1544.2)
|
500
(2150.4)
|
| Davion Mitchell | 2076 |
500
(1575.8)
|
500
(1575.8)
|
| Corey Kispert | 1801 |
500
(1301.1)
|
500
(1301.1)
|
| Ayo Dosunmu | 2110 |
500
(1609.6)
|
500
(1609.6)
|
| Josh Giddey | 1700 |
500
(1200.4)
|
500
(1200.4)
|
Individual Misses for Minutes
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Barnes | 500 | 2617 | 2117.3 |
| 2 | Franz Wagner | 500 | 2429 | 1929.0 |
| 3 | Evan Mobley | 500 | 2331 | 1831.0 |
| 4 | Jalen Green | 500 | 2138 | 1637.7 |
| 5 | Cade Cunningham | 500 | 2088 | 1588.1 |
| 6 | Jaren Jackson Jr. | 918 | 2126 | 1208.0 |
| 7 | Tyrese Haliburton | 1526 | 2694 | 1168.2 |
| 8 | Spencer Dinwiddie | 829 | 1980 | 1151.4 |
| 9 | Saddiq Bey | 1601 | 2704 | 1103.1 |
| 10 | Chris Duarte | 500 | 1541 | 1040.8 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Barton | 500 | 2276 | 1776.5 |
| 2 | Desmond Bane | 500 | 2266 | 1766.2 |
| 3 | Malik Monk | 500 | 2138 | 1638.4 |
| 4 | Jae'Sean Tate | 500 | 2056 | 1556.4 |
| 5 | P.J. Tucker | 500 | 1981 | 1480.8 |
| 6 | Jarred Vanderbilt | 500 | 1881 | 1380.5 |
| 7 | Grant Williams | 500 | 1875 | 1375.1 |
| 8 | Jaden McDaniels | 500 | 1803 | 1302.7 |
| 9 | Immanuel Quickley | 500 | 1802 | 1302.4 |
| 10 | Precious Achiuwa | 500 | 1725 | 1224.7 |
Games
Everybody Missed for Games
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo Dosunmu | 77 |
0
(77.0)
|
0
(77.0)
|
| Davion Mitchell | 75 |
0
(75.0)
|
0
(75.0)
|
| Corey Kispert | 77 |
0
(77.0)
|
0
(77.0)
|
| Herbert Jones | 78 |
0
(78.0)
|
0
(78.0)
|
Individual Misses for Games
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franz Wagner | 0 | 79 | 79.0 |
| 2 | Scottie Barnes | 0 | 74 | 74.0 |
| 3 | Evan Mobley | 0 | 69 | 69.0 |
| 4 | Jalen Green | 0 | 67 | 67.0 |
| 5 | Cade Cunningham | 0 | 64 | 64.0 |
| 6 | Chris Duarte | 0 | 55 | 55.0 |
| 7 | Josh Giddey | 0 | 54 | 54.0 |
| 8 | Jaren Jackson Jr. | 35 | 78 | 43.0 |
| 9 | Spencer Dinwiddie | 29 | 67 | 38.0 |
| 10 | Kevin Love | 38 | 74 | 36.0 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Immanuel Quickley | 0 | 78 | 78.0 |
| 2 | Jae'Sean Tate | 0 | 78 | 78.0 |
| 3 | Grant Williams | 0 | 77 | 77.0 |
| 4 | Desmond Bane | 0 | 76 | 76.0 |
| 5 | Malik Monk | 0 | 76 | 76.0 |
| 6 | Trey Lyles | 0 | 75 | 75.0 |
| 7 | Tyrese Maxey | 0 | 75 | 75.0 |
| 8 | Jarred Vanderbilt | 0 | 74 | 74.0 |
| 9 | Precious Achiuwa | 0 | 73 | 73.0 |
| 10 | P.J. Tucker | 0 | 71 | 71.0 |
Rate Stats
MIN/G
Everybody Missed for MIN/G
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 31.9495 |
22.7449
(16643.5)
|
23.1000
(21126.8)
|
| Amir Coffey | 22.7155 |
10.6128
(14877.7)
|
30.1364
(12382.4)
|
| Gary Trent Jr. | 34.9700 |
26.9903
(13143.3)
|
27.5000
(17113.0)
|
| Precious Achiuwa | 23.6254 |
13.3013
(13303.2)
|
30.1364
(12055.6)
|
| Tyrese Maxey | 35.3381 |
16.0319
(44249.6)
|
30.1364
(12516.4)
|
| Mo Bamba | 25.6860 |
15.8132
(13244.3)
|
16.1000
(16608.2)
|
| Corey Kispert | 23.3904 |
30.1364
(16851.7)
|
30.1364
(13013.0)
|
| Jordan Poole | 30.0436 |
20.6213
(15553.4)
|
19.3000
(23436.9)
|
| Miles Bridges | 35.4639 |
28.2484
(13064.9)
|
29.6000
(15277.2)
|
Individual Misses for MIN/G
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Terance Mann | 16.8829 | 28.6026 | 21104.3 |
| 2 | Robert Williams III | 17.7200 | 29.5792 | 16687.8 |
| 3 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | 31.0736 | 26.3050 | 14752.1 |
| 4 | Anfernee Simons | 18.3014 | 29.4915 | 14422.4 |
| 5 | Kevin Love | 28.1447 | 22.4982 | 13746.9 |
| 6 | Duncan Robinson | 29.9600 | 25.8578 | 13712.4 |
| 7 | Devin Vassell | 17.7061 | 27.2801 | 13487.6 |
| 8 | Javonte Green | 12.0685 | 23.3699 | 13201.9 |
| 9 | Josh Richardson | 30.1655 | 24.6110 | 13061.5 |
| 10 | Robert Covington | 31.3410 | 27.3166 | 12868.1 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Evan Mobley | 25.3000 | 33.7831 | 18657.6 |
| 2 | Scottie Barnes | 28.7000 | 35.3688 | 16200.0 |
| 3 | Patty Mills | 21.6000 | 28.9595 | 16139.5 |
| 4 | Cody Martin | 17.2000 | 26.2763 | 16039.0 |
| 5 | Franz Wagner | 23.7000 | 30.7474 | 15954.7 |
| 6 | Trey Lyles | 30.1364 | 20.4836 | 15565.5 |
| 7 | Georges Niang | 14.4000 | 22.8471 | 13835.4 |
| 8 | Immanuel Quickley | 30.1364 | 23.1081 | 13531.7 |
| 9 | Luke Kennard | 20.6000 | 27.4162 | 12161.6 |
| 10 | Montrezl Harrell | 29.8000 | 23.1036 | 11770.4 |
PTS/MIN
Everybody Missed for PTS/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant | 0.8280 |
0.5903
(451.3)
|
0.6548
(362.0)
|
| Russell Westbrook | 0.5381 |
0.6383
(265.2)
|
0.6519
(255.6)
|
| Nikola Vučević | 0.5328 |
0.6574
(298.4)
|
0.6895
(334.4)
|
| Herbert Jones | 0.3177 |
0.4991
(420.7)
|
0.4991
(380.5)
|
| James Harden | 0.5918 |
0.7943
(487.0)
|
0.7321
(294.9)
|
| Tyler Herro | 0.6355 |
0.5064
(280.3)
|
0.4934
(345.2)
|
| DeMar DeRozan | 0.7722 |
0.6266
(402.4)
|
0.6368
(421.8)
|
| Desmond Bane | 0.6107 |
0.4253
(422.9)
|
0.4991
(294.7)
|
| Ayo Dosunmu | 0.3219 |
0.4991
(371.4)
|
0.4991
(335.1)
|
| Anfernee Simons | 0.5877 |
0.4469
(238.8)
|
0.4385
(281.9)
|
| Stephen Curry | 0.7372 |
0.8763
(304.9)
|
0.8716
(256.6)
|
| Miles Bridges | 0.5685 |
0.4342
(384.4)
|
0.4272
(453.2)
|
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 0.4640 |
0.6115
(289.8)
|
0.6252
(282.8)
|
Individual Misses for PTS/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dejounte Murray | 0.4784 | 0.6078 | 308.9 |
| 2 | Darius Garland | 0.4931 | 0.6062 | 277.5 |
| 3 | Corey Kispert | 0.4991 | 0.3520 | 262.7 |
| 4 | Jakob Poeltl | 0.3328 | 0.4645 | 261.8 |
| 5 | Nikola Jokić | 0.7063 | 0.8095 | 258.5 |
| 6 | D'Angelo Russell | 0.6804 | 0.5663 | 234.5 |
| 7 | Alec Burks | 0.5086 | 0.4073 | 232.0 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P.J. Tucker | 0.4991 | 0.2721 | 413.1 |
| 2 | Jarred Vanderbilt | 0.4991 | 0.2723 | 391.9 |
| 3 | Franz Wagner | 0.3624 | 0.4928 | 361.4 |
| 4 | Grant Williams | 0.4991 | 0.3211 | 299.3 |
| 5 | Jonas Valanciunas | 0.4754 | 0.5866 | 290.2 |
| 6 | Javonte Green | 0.4991 | 0.3081 | 262.2 |
| 7 | Killian Hayes | 0.4494 | 0.2751 | 256.8 |
REB/MIN
Everybody Missed for REB/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Royce O'Neale | 0.1530 |
0.2042
(114.7)
|
0.2005
(104.3)
|
| Ja Morant | 0.1721 |
0.1297
(86.8)
|
0.1219
(102.7)
|
| Steven Adams | 0.3803 |
0.3149
(137.8)
|
0.3180
(132.8)
|
| Herbert Jones | 0.1268 |
0.1830
(123.1)
|
0.1830
(121.6)
|
| Kyle Kuzma | 0.2545 |
0.2000
(128.1)
|
0.1963
(137.6)
|
| Jonas Valanciunas | 0.3763 |
0.4188
(87.2)
|
0.4345
(120.9)
|
| Kevon Looney | 0.3440 |
0.2695
(135.4)
|
0.2749
(127.0)
|
| Davion Mitchell | 0.0800 |
0.1830
(206.5)
|
0.1830
(205.3)
|
| Corey Kispert | 0.1160 |
0.1830
(114.2)
|
0.1830
(113.1)
|
| Ayo Dosunmu | 0.1014 |
0.1830
(164.6)
|
0.1830
(163.3)
|
| Josh Giddey | 0.2476 |
0.1830
(115.9)
|
0.1830
(116.9)
|
| Nikola Jokić | 0.4116 |
0.3115
(256.7)
|
0.3163
(246.3)
|
Individual Misses for REB/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Russell Westbrook | 0.2826 | 0.2166 | 167.1 |
| 2 | Jalen Green | 0.1830 | 0.1057 | 157.6 |
| 3 | Evan Mobley | 0.1830 | 0.2445 | 151.7 |
| 4 | Rudy Gobert | 0.4099 | 0.4565 | 106.4 |
| 5 | Dorian Finney-Smith | 0.1794 | 0.1419 | 89.8 |
| 6 | Scottie Barnes | 0.1830 | 0.2128 | 87.3 |
| 7 | Al Horford | 0.2249 | 0.2644 | 86.2 |
| 8 | Christian Wood | 0.2914 | 0.3277 | 83.5 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jarred Vanderbilt | 0.1830 | 0.3318 | 287.7 |
| 2 | Tyrese Maxey | 0.1830 | 0.0906 | 234.0 |
| 3 | Precious Achiuwa | 0.1830 | 0.2743 | 164.5 |
| 4 | Gabe Vincent | 0.1830 | 0.0793 | 158.2 |
| 5 | Malik Monk | 0.1830 | 0.1197 | 126.5 |
| 6 | Franz Wagner | 0.2023 | 0.1466 | 125.2 |
| 7 | Garrison Mathews | 0.1830 | 0.1110 | 116.2 |
| 8 | Trey Lyles | 0.1830 | 0.2467 | 104.2 |
AST/MIN
Everybody Missed for AST/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray | 0.2650 |
0.1656
(230.2)
|
0.1801
(203.4)
|
| Russell Westbrook | 0.2054 |
0.2749
(191.9)
|
0.2575
(136.7)
|
| Tyrese Haliburton | 0.2331 |
0.1750
(150.8)
|
0.1757
(157.5)
|
| Steven Adams | 0.1281 |
0.0728
(106.1)
|
0.0699
(118.4)
|
| Chris Paul | 0.3282 |
0.2483
(166.3)
|
0.2596
(149.0)
|
| Corey Kispert | 0.0472 |
0.1117
(120.1)
|
0.1117
(114.3)
|
| De'Aaron Fox | 0.1584 |
0.2084
(108.8)
|
0.2066
(98.1)
|
| Josh Giddey | 0.2029 |
0.1117
(151.3)
|
0.1117
(156.8)
|
| Darius Garland | 0.2399 |
0.1644
(178.3)
|
0.1786
(151.7)
|
| Josh Hart | 0.1251 |
0.0733
(88.8)
|
0.0710
(98.7)
|
Individual Misses for AST/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LeBron James | 0.2448 | 0.1674 | 165.7 |
| 2 | DeMar DeRozan | 0.1834 | 0.1363 | 135.0 |
| 3 | Cade Cunningham | 0.1117 | 0.1705 | 118.2 |
| 4 | Herbert Jones | 0.1117 | 0.0715 | 99.0 |
| 5 | Devonte' Graham | 0.1879 | 0.1462 | 94.9 |
| 6 | Bam Adebayo | 0.1530 | 0.1041 | 93.3 |
| 7 | Evan Mobley | 0.1117 | 0.0746 | 91.5 |
| 8 | Miles Bridges | 0.0714 | 0.1057 | 91.4 |
| 9 | Evan Fournier | 0.1085 | 0.0725 | 90.0 |
| 10 | Aaron Gordon | 0.1145 | 0.0791 | 89.0 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grant Williams | 0.1117 | 0.0416 | 129.5 |
| 2 | Garrison Mathews | 0.1117 | 0.0374 | 125.5 |
| 3 | Jaden McDaniels | 0.1117 | 0.0438 | 120.5 |
| 4 | Jarred Vanderbilt | 0.1117 | 0.0500 | 114.1 |
| 5 | Precious Achiuwa | 0.1117 | 0.0475 | 108.9 |
| 6 | Javonte Green | 0.1117 | 0.0395 | 108.1 |
| 7 | Saddiq Bey | 0.0490 | 0.0862 | 103.3 |
| 8 | Oshae Brissett | 0.1117 | 0.0460 | 101.1 |
| 9 | Scottie Barnes | 0.1361 | 0.0978 | 97.5 |
| 10 | Kyle Kuzma | 0.0643 | 0.1057 | 93.6 |
STL/MIN
Everybody Missed for STL/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 0.0328 |
0.0229
(24.5)
|
0.0228
(24.4)
|
| Gary Trent Jr. | 0.0498 |
0.0329
(42.7)
|
0.0328
(42.5)
|
| Russell Westbrook | 0.0280 |
0.0410
(33.4)
|
0.0428
(38.6)
|
| Robert Williams III | 0.0310 |
0.0443
(23.0)
|
0.0444
(23.5)
|
| Darius Bazley | 0.0301 |
0.0191
(22.3)
|
0.0184
(23.3)
|
| Herbert Jones | 0.0557 |
0.0308
(59.1)
|
0.0308
(58.9)
|
| Dwight Powell | 0.0206 |
0.0340
(23.2)
|
0.0353
(25.8)
|
| Kevin Huerter | 0.0251 |
0.0361
(23.0)
|
0.0365
(24.1)
|
| Jae Crowder | 0.0504 |
0.0320
(35.5)
|
0.0331
(33.2)
|
| Caris LeVert | 0.0286 |
0.0420
(22.9)
|
0.0446
(27.7)
|
| Desmond Bane | 0.0406 |
0.0280
(29.6)
|
0.0308
(23.0)
|
| Donovan Mitchell | 0.0437 |
0.0316
(28.6)
|
0.0289
(34.3)
|
| Chuma Okeke | 0.0555 |
0.0419
(24.6)
|
0.0407
(26.4)
|
| Isaiah Stewart | 0.0121 |
0.0282
(28.3)
|
0.0290
(30.0)
|
Individual Misses for STL/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach LaVine | 0.0294 | 0.0176 | 26.3 |
| 2 | De'Aaron Fox | 0.0447 | 0.0326 | 24.1 |
| 3 | Chris Paul | 0.0466 | 0.0566 | 22.4 |
| 4 | Royce O'Neale | 0.0271 | 0.0358 | 22.0 |
| 5 | Justin Holiday | 0.0385 | 0.0277 | 21.1 |
| 6 | Jayson Tatum | 0.0357 | 0.0275 | 21.1 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franz Wagner | 0.0462 | 0.0280 | 43.5 |
| 2 | Jarred Vanderbilt | 0.0308 | 0.0526 | 41.7 |
| 3 | Scottie Barnes | 0.0418 | 0.0306 | 28.5 |
| 4 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 0.0228 | 0.0366 | 27.4 |
| 5 | Tyrese Maxey | 0.0308 | 0.0208 | 25.7 |
| 6 | Kevin Porter Jr. | 0.0250 | 0.0362 | 22.0 |
BLK/MIN
Everybody Missed for BLK/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges | 0.0126 |
0.0245
(29.7)
|
0.0252
(29.9)
|
| Robert Williams III | 0.0743 |
0.0868
(20.0)
|
0.0933
(30.7)
|
| Nikola Vučević | 0.0294 |
0.0226
(20.0)
|
0.0209
(25.3)
|
| Darius Bazley | 0.0364 |
0.0203
(33.8)
|
0.0155
(44.1)
|
| Clint Capela | 0.0456 |
0.0602
(26.9)
|
0.0654
(36.2)
|
| LeBron James | 0.0283 |
0.0163
(28.1)
|
0.0154
(31.2)
|
| Mo Bamba | 0.0647 |
0.0809
(26.9)
|
0.0811
(26.2)
|
| Deni Avdija | 0.0222 |
0.0134
(20.4)
|
0.0115
(25.2)
|
| Chris Boucher | 0.0444 |
0.0722
(44.5)
|
0.0772
(52.0)
|
| Deandre Ayton | 0.0234 |
0.0389
(24.2)
|
0.0397
(24.5)
|
| Jusuf Nurkić | 0.0215 |
0.0451
(34.8)
|
0.0503
(42.2)
|
| Al Horford | 0.0459 |
0.0318
(31.3)
|
0.0344
(27.1)
|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 0.0832 |
0.0555
(62.0)
|
0.0584
(57.1)
|
| Isaiah Stewart | 0.0430 |
0.0571
(23.0)
|
0.0651
(36.4)
|
Individual Misses for BLK/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Evan Mobley | 0.0180 | 0.0493 | 76.4 |
| 2 | Jarred Vanderbilt | 0.0380 | 0.0245 | 22.8 |
| 3 | Herbert Jones | 0.0180 | 0.0257 | 21.4 |
| 4 | Robert Covington | 0.0382 | 0.0469 | 19.8 |
| 5 | Carmelo Anthony | 0.0195 | 0.0290 | 19.6 |
| 6 | Oshae Brissett | 0.0324 | 0.0185 | 19.4 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franz Wagner | 0.0381 | 0.0140 | 53.7 |
| 2 | Grant Williams | 0.0180 | 0.0304 | 27.1 |
| 3 | Immanuel Quickley | 0.0180 | 0.0017 | 25.8 |
| 4 | Jaden McDaniels | 0.0180 | 0.0300 | 25.2 |
| 5 | Bruce Brown | 0.0174 | 0.0293 | 24.8 |
| 6 | Julius Randle | 0.0081 | 0.0153 | 23.5 |
TOV/MIN
Everybody Missed for TOV/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 0.0691 |
0.0955
(61.5)
|
0.0994
(65.5)
|
| Cade Cunningham | 0.1121 |
0.0570
(115.4)
|
0.0598
(114.2)
|
| Tyrese Haliburton | 0.0739 |
0.0511
(61.9)
|
0.0532
(62.1)
|
| Malik Beasley | 0.0218 |
0.0461
(47.8)
|
0.0499
(50.9)
|
| Tyler Herro | 0.0809 |
0.0588
(48.0)
|
0.0600
(50.1)
|
| Zach LaVine | 0.0735 |
0.0964
(52.9)
|
0.0988
(53.5)
|
| Killian Hayes | 0.0674 |
0.1067
(64.4)
|
0.1239
(89.0)
|
| Josh Giddey | 0.1006 |
0.0570
(74.5)
|
0.0570
(78.2)
|
| Jordan Poole | 0.0819 |
0.0533
(65.9)
|
0.0518
(74.2)
|
| Josh Hart | 0.0637 |
0.0391
(44.4)
|
0.0373
(51.5)
|
| Reggie Jackson | 0.0740 |
0.0546
(46.0)
|
0.0538
(53.0)
|
| Nikola Jokić | 0.1135 |
0.0904
(57.6)
|
0.0913
(60.9)
|
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 0.0525 |
0.0820
(58.0)
|
0.0846
(58.9)
|
Individual Misses for TOV/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corey Kispert | 0.0570 | 0.0278 | 52.3 |
| 2 | Anfernee Simons | 0.0412 | 0.0684 | 46.2 |
| 3 | Russell Westbrook | 0.1270 | 0.1102 | 44.4 |
| 4 | Darius Garland | 0.0845 | 0.1021 | 43.2 |
| 5 | Kyle Kuzma | 0.0575 | 0.0767 | 42.8 |
| 6 | Coby White | 0.0675 | 0.0418 | 42.7 |
| 7 | Jae'Sean Tate | 0.0478 | 0.0676 | 41.1 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franz Wagner | 0.0757 | 0.0490 | 59.1 |
| 2 | Tyrese Maxey | 0.0570 | 0.0332 | 56.7 |
| 3 | Jonas Valanciunas | 0.0582 | 0.0799 | 54.0 |
| 4 | Javonte Green | 0.0570 | 0.0197 | 52.9 |
| 5 | Garrison Mathews | 0.0570 | 0.0240 | 52.4 |
| 6 | Scottie Barnes | 0.0734 | 0.0520 | 49.8 |
| 7 | Fred VanVleet | 0.0516 | 0.0690 | 48.8 |
3PM/MIN
Everybody Missed for 3PM/MIN
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 0.0781 |
0.0567
(48.4)
|
0.0564
(59.1)
|
| LaMelo Ball | 0.0908 |
0.0633
(65.0)
|
0.0680
(64.1)
|
| Scottie Barnes | 0.0222 |
0.0567
(92.2)
|
0.0497
(62.7)
|
| Nikola Vučević | 0.0430 |
0.0626
(48.9)
|
0.0711
(59.2)
|
| Herbert Jones | 0.0244 |
0.0567
(77.1)
|
0.0567
(67.0)
|
| Desmond Bane | 0.1006 |
0.0761
(53.9)
|
0.0567
(107.6)
|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 0.0955 |
0.0546
(80.4)
|
0.0543
(89.6)
|
| Keldon Johnson | 0.0665 |
0.0337
(76.8)
|
0.0409
(69.8)
|
Individual Misses for 3PM/MIN
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Evan Mobley | 0.0567 | 0.0099 | 110.8 |
| 2 | James Harden | 0.0971 | 0.0612 | 88.5 |
| 3 | Jeff Green | 0.0559 | 0.0287 | 51.6 |
| 4 | Ayo Dosunmu | 0.0567 | 0.0332 | 51.1 |
| 5 | Brandon Ingram | 0.0651 | 0.0396 | 48.9 |
| 6 | Malik Beasley | 0.0960 | 0.1214 | 48.9 |
| 7 | Kevin Love | 0.0823 | 0.1123 | 48.9 |
| 8 | Kevin Porter Jr. | 0.0553 | 0.0813 | 48.1 |
| 9 | Pat Connaughton | 0.0572 | 0.0863 | 48.0 |
| 10 | Wendell Carter Jr. | 0.0117 | 0.0378 | 47.1 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rudy Gobert | 0.0567 | 0.0000 | 112.6 |
| 2 | Clint Capela | 0.0567 | 0.0000 | 108.4 |
| 3 | Steven Adams | 0.0567 | 0.0000 | 106.1 |
| 4 | Jakob Poeltl | 0.0567 | 0.0005 | 103.6 |
| 5 | Mitchell Robinson | 0.0567 | 0.0000 | 98.2 |
| 6 | Jarred Vanderbilt | 0.0567 | 0.0011 | 97.9 |
| 7 | Max Strus | 0.0567 | 0.1140 | 96.7 |
| 8 | Robert Williams III | 0.0567 | 0.0000 | 95.8 |
| 9 | Mason Plumlee | 0.0567 | 0.0000 | 95.2 |
| 10 | Terance Mann | 0.0650 | 0.0328 | 66.3 |
FG%
Everybody Missed for FG%
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Allen | 0.6771 |
0.6215
(103.9)
|
0.6185
(108.3)
|
| Dwight Powell | 0.6708 |
0.5971
(136.0)
|
0.6170
(99.1)
|
| Mitchell Robinson | 0.7609 |
0.6762
(160.2)
|
0.6949
(124.5)
|
| Aaron Gordon | 0.5204 |
0.4554
(158.9)
|
0.4596
(147.4)
|
| Davion Mitchell | 0.4176 |
0.4705
(105.9)
|
0.4705
(107.2)
|
| Eric Gordon | 0.4752 |
0.4079
(115.5)
|
0.4091
(112.5)
|
| Matisse Thybulle | 0.5000 |
0.4345
(113.6)
|
0.4153
(145.0)
|
| Julius Randle | 0.4109 |
0.4655
(134.0)
|
0.4591
(119.3)
|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 0.4151 |
0.4767
(127.0)
|
0.4689
(111.7)
|
| Ayo Dosunmu | 0.5196 |
0.4705
(107.7)
|
0.4705
(106.4)
|
| Josh Hart | 0.5044 |
0.4349
(127.8)
|
0.4259
(142.9)
|
| Chuma Okeke | 0.3757 |
0.4334
(97.8)
|
0.4520
(131.2)
|
Individual Misses for FG%
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P.J. Tucker | 0.3936 | 0.4836 | 182.1 |
| 2 | Precious Achiuwa | 0.5375 | 0.4395 | 165.8 |
| 3 | Cade Cunningham | 0.4705 | 0.4161 | 109.6 |
| 4 | Malik Beasley | 0.4479 | 0.3906 | 109.5 |
| 5 | Oshae Brissett | 0.4799 | 0.4111 | 104.6 |
| 6 | Duncan Robinson | 0.4525 | 0.3994 | 104.5 |
| 7 | Rudy Gobert | 0.6660 | 0.7126 | 102.8 |
| 8 | Reggie Jackson | 0.4361 | 0.3920 | 98.6 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jarred Vanderbilt | 0.4705 | 0.5873 | 222.1 |
| 2 | Immanuel Quickley | 0.4705 | 0.3923 | 138.6 |
| 3 | Jordan Poole | 0.3949 | 0.4480 | 124.3 |
| 4 | Garrison Mathews | 0.4705 | 0.3991 | 119.9 |
| 5 | James Harden | 0.4582 | 0.4103 | 112.8 |
| 6 | Javonte Green | 0.4705 | 0.5415 | 109.9 |
| 7 | Scottie Barnes | 0.4519 | 0.4925 | 109.5 |
| 8 | Steven Adams | 0.6012 | 0.5469 | 106.0 |
FT%
Everybody Missed for FT%
| Player | Actual | SPS | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum | 0.6824 |
0.7923
(243.4)
|
0.7941
(237.9)
|
| LaMelo Ball | 0.8724 |
0.7692
(241.5)
|
0.7813
(222.7)
|
| Clint Capela | 0.4734 |
0.5870
(239.0)
|
0.5714
(198.4)
|
| Grant Williams | 0.9053 |
0.6716
(431.5)
|
0.7897
(218.3)
|
| Franz Wagner | 0.8630 |
0.7897
(169.5)
|
0.7698
(228.6)
|
| Evan Fournier | 0.7080 |
0.7986
(222.0)
|
0.8065
(230.2)
|
| Davion Mitchell | 0.6588 |
0.7897
(279.0)
|
0.7897
(269.9)
|
| Andrew Wiggins | 0.6340 |
0.7175
(202.6)
|
0.7117
(178.8)
|
| Matisse Thybulle | 0.7907 |
0.6111
(296.7)
|
0.5385
(426.6)
|
| Desmond Bane | 0.9032 |
0.8148
(192.4)
|
0.7897
(259.2)
|
| Ayo Dosunmu | 0.6795 |
0.7897
(239.9)
|
0.7897
(230.7)
|
| Mason Plumlee | 0.3918 |
0.6235
(421.6)
|
0.6482
(458.1)
|
Individual Misses for FT%
SPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Evan Mobley | 0.7897 | 0.6627 | 304.3 |
| 2 | Jaden McDaniels | 0.6471 | 0.8028 | 274.5 |
| 3 | Amir Coffey | 0.7237 | 0.8632 | 213.3 |
| 4 | Kevin Porter Jr. | 0.7500 | 0.6425 | 211.7 |
| 5 | Dorian Finney-Smith | 0.7385 | 0.6747 | 177.8 |
| 6 | KJ Martin | 0.7368 | 0.6341 | 175.9 |
| 7 | Pascal Siakam | 0.8140 | 0.7493 | 175.6 |
| 8 | Mitchell Robinson | 0.5743 | 0.4862 | 169.3 |
ESPN
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Precious Achiuwa | 0.7897 | 0.5954 | 333.6 |
| 2 | Jarred Vanderbilt | 0.7897 | 0.6565 | 248.9 |
| 3 | Deni Avdija | 0.6406 | 0.7574 | 233.3 |
| 4 | Aaron Gordon | 0.6573 | 0.7435 | 206.9 |
| 5 | Tyrese Maxey | 0.7897 | 0.8659 | 204.1 |
| 6 | Robert Williams III | 0.6154 | 0.7222 | 194.4 |
| 7 | Mo Bamba | 0.6782 | 0.7808 | 188.8 |
| 8 | Patty Mills | 0.8901 | 0.8136 | 177.5 |